Orlando City vs Sporting Kansas City Picks and Predictions August 16th 2025

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Orlando City SC vs Sporting Kansas City – Picks and Predictions (August 16, 2025)

Orlando City Keeping Guard Up Ahead of Clash vs. SKC

Orlando City SC will aim to extend their unbeaten run to seven matches across all competitions when they host Sporting Kansas City on Saturday night.

The Lions (12-6-8, 44 points) have surged into fourth place in the Eastern Conference with a 5-0-1 stretch, capped by a commanding 4-1 Florida Derby win over Inter Miami last Sunday. Martin Ojeda, who leads the team with 14 goals and 13 assists, has contributed to a goal in 11 straight regular-season matches — tied for the third-longest streak in MLS history.

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Sporting Kansas City (6-13-6, 24 points) are winless in their last four matches (0-3-1) and sit eight points below the Western Conference playoff line. Despite firing a season-high 22 shots in last weekend’s 2-0 loss to San Diego FC, SKC couldn’t find the net. Interim head coach Kerry Zavagnin is confident the team’s performances can soon translate into results.

Match Information

  • Sport: Soccer (MLS)
  • Teams: Orlando City SC vs Sporting Kansas City
  • Venue: Exploria Stadium, Orlando, FL
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Kickoff: 7:30 PM ET
  • Betting Odds:
    • Orlando City Moneyline: -150
    • Sporting Kansas City Moneyline: +375
    • Draw: +300
    • Total Over 2.5: -145
    • Total Under 2.5: +120

Orlando City SC Can Win If…

Orlando needs to maintain their attacking momentum while avoiding a letdown between high-profile matches. Ojeda’s creativity, combined with the expected return of Duncan McGuire and Joran Gerbet, should provide plenty of firepower. A disciplined defensive shape will be crucial with Cesar Araujo suspended.

Sporting Kansas City Can Win If…

SKC must capitalize on attacking chances, something they struggled with despite heavy shot volume against San Diego. Dejan Joveljic, stuck on one goal in his last four games, will need to be more clinical. A reshuffled back line — likely without Logan Ndenbe — must hold firm against Orlando’s dynamic attack.

Key Stats Comparison

Stat CategoryOrlando City SCSporting Kansas City
Goals Scored per Match1.68 (5th MLS)1.26 (18th MLS)
Goals Conceded per Match1.41 (12th MLS)2.04 (27th MLS)
Clean Sheets85
Possession %52.9%50.2%
Top ScorerMartin Ojeda (14)Dejan Joveljic (13)

The Lean

Orlando’s recent form, combined with SKC’s defensive struggles and injury issues, makes the Lions strong favorites at home. Model projection: Orlando City SC 3 – 1 Sporting Kansas City.

  • Pick: Orlando City SC Moneyline (-150)
  • Total Lean: Over 2.5 Goals (-145)