Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Picks and Predictions August 23rd 2025

Eastern Powerhouses Clash in Regular-Season Finale

The Atlanta Dream host the New York Liberty this Saturday afternoon at 5:00 PM ET, in what may be the season’s defining Eastern Conference showdown. College Park, Georgia, will erupt as two of the league’s elite square off one last time before the playoffs.

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Atlanta holds a slight edge at 23–13 and tops the East standings, while New York is right behind at 22–14. The Liberty have taken two of the first three meetings this year and are looking to even the season series.

Opening Odds

• Spread: Liberty –3
• Moneyline: Liberty –150, Dream +130
• Total: 160 (Over –110, Under –110)

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The Dream Can Win If…

They continue their elite defensive performance and capitalize on near-home court energy. Atlanta stifles opponents, allowing just 77.4 PPG—the second-best mark in the league.

Coach of the Year candidate Karl Smesko has transformed this team, and the squad displayed that turnaround with a gritty 75–73 win over the top-seeded Lynx.

Key Contributors:

• Allisha Gray: 18.8 PPG, led Thursday with 27 points
• Rhyne Howard: 16.5 PPG

“For us, it’s about playing every single possession at a championship level… you can’t have wasted possessions.”
— Coach Karl Smesko

If Atlanta keeps building stops and executing in the clutch, they’ll stay on top of the East.

The Liberty Can Win If…

They rediscover consistency and avoid that late-game drought that plagued them against the Sky. New York led by three heading into the fourth quarter, then went cold—no field goals in the final six minutes of a disheartening loss.

Key Players:

• Sabrina Ionescu: Team-high 19.0 PPG
• Breanna Stewart: 18.3 PPG when healthy (targeting a return soon)

“Anyone can beat anyone in this league… but our inconsistencies are mind-boggling at times.”
— Coach Sandy Brondello

If New York cuts down the mistakes and finds their rhythm on both ends, they’ll be right in this one.

Key WNBA Betting Trends

The Lean

Atlanta is the more stable and consistent squad, especially at home, where they’ve dominated throughout the season. New York’s offensive firepower is elite but undermined by inconsistency. With playoff berths nearing, expect the Dream to defend home court and capitalize on a disciplined game.

Model Projection: Dream 81, Liberty 77
Pick: Dream +130 (Moneyline)
Spread Lean: Liberty –3 is tempting but edges toward Dream’s well-rounded play
Total Lean: Under 160

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