New York Liberty vs Connectitut Sun Picks and Predictions August 25th 2025

Rebounding Sun Visit an Injury-Plagued Liberty in Season Finale

The Connecticut Sun (9‑27) ride a three-game win streak—second longest in the WNBA—into a matchup against the New York Liberty (22‑15), who are reeling amid multiple injuries and four losses in their last five games.

Unlock Access to Sharp WNBA Society

Insiders only.

Unlock Membership!

Opening Odds

• Moneyline: Liberty –175, Sun +145
• Spread: Liberty –4
• Total: 155.5 (Over –110, Under –110)

The Sun Can Win If…

• Tina Charles maintains her double-double dominance, including her 200th career such performance. She’s averaging 18.6 PPG over the last five games, anchoring the offense.
• Team cohesion continues to improve, with guard Marina Mabrey highlighting the unity that has carried them through amid franchise uncertainty.
• They bring full energy defensively, capitalizing on New York’s offensive disarray due to injuries.

The Liberty Can Win If…

• Returning pieces revive the energy, even without Breanna Stewart or Sabrina Ionescu—Jonquel Jones needs to lead with trust and effort.
• They limit turnovers, overcoming past nights where they committed 14 lapses in a blowout loss.
• Offense clicks despite missing staples, finding scoring through role players to stay competitive.

Key WNBA Betting Trends

The Lean

With New York without two All-Star starters and Connecticut building confidence and identity, this feels ripe for an upset. Expect intense effort and a gritty Sun win.

• Projected Score: Sun 78, Liberty 75
• Pick: Sun +145 (Moneyline)
• Spread Lean: Sun +4
• Total Lean: Under 155.5

Catch full breakdowns and expert analysis in today’s WNBA Previews.