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Young Arms in Focus as Cards Host Red-Hot Pirates
The St. Louis Cardinals (64‑67) hand a big-league opportunity to rookie Michael McGreevy, riding strong recent form, as they host a surging Pittsburgh Pirates (57‑74) squad that’s just wrapped a dominant sweep. A look at the recent baseball scores shows how rapidly momentum is shifting in this tight race.
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Opening Odds
- Moneyline: Cardinals –141 | Pirates +119
- Total (O/U): 8.0 runs
The Cardinals Can Win If…
- McGreevy keeps his quality starts rolling — With three quality starts in four August outings and a 3.38 ERA this month, he can anchor the rotation moving forward.
- The offense delivers multi-hit nights from all corners — Sunday’s 10-8 win highlighted their power across the lineup.
- They continue to outslug Pittsburgh — Ranked 5th in doubles and with several reliable batters, they can capitalize early.
“I’ve given you guys repetitive answers, but it’s sticking to that routine in the big leagues … feeling comfortable with yourself,” McGreevy said.
The Pirates Can Win If…
- Their pitching staff keeps rolling — With one of the league’s stingiest ERAs and a combined 18-1 punch in the series just concluded, they can handcuff the Cardinals’ lineup.
- Rookies keep swinging — Colson Montgomery and company are providing consistent spark and power at the plate.
- Shane Smith holds firm — Posting a 3.54 ERA in August, Smith is settled and poised for a strong outing.
“We’ve talked a lot about it. It’s a foundation for us — pitching and defense,” said Pirates manager Don Kelly after the weekend sweep.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Category | Cardinals | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Season Context | In wild‑card chase | Riding 4-game win streak |
| Recent Form | Lost 8 of last 11 | Strong offensive output |
| Pitching Matchup | McGreevy (4.26 ERA) | Smith pitching strong in August |
| Batting Leaders | Power across lineup | Montgomery, Quero, Teel rising |
The Lean
St. Louis benefits from consistent pitching and offensive balance, but don’t sleep on Pittsburgh’s momentum and rookie surge. Ultimately, I’m siding with McGreevy and the home field.
Model Projection: Cardinals 5, Pirates 4
Pick: Cardinals Moneyline
Total Lean: Under 8.0 Runs
For even more pregame edge, check today’s MLB Betting Strategy hub.
