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Will Alyssa Thomas Lift Phoenix Into Sparks’ Defensive Weakness?
The Phoenix Mercury (22–14) visit the Los Angeles Sparks (17–18) on Tuesday, aiming to exploit L.A.’s soft defense and continue their climb in the standings. Thomas alone can elevate the entire offense—her recent triple-double highlights just why she’s been such a franchise-altering acquisition.
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Key Details
- Game: Mercury at Sparks — Tuesday night in Los Angeles
- Context: Phoenix building momentum; Sparks seeking answers after defensive lapses
- Significant Factors:
- Alyssa Thomas delivered her 17th career triple-double, setting a franchise record in assists
- Los Angeles ranks 2nd in league-wide scoring but dead last in points allowed
- Sparks still reeling from Paige Bueckers’ 44-point game and the blunt assessment by Kelsey Plum: “We gotta play some (expletive) defense.”
The Mercury Can Win If…
- Thomas continues to dominate every stat sheet. Her all-around impact gives Phoenix an edge that extends beyond scoring.
- Sabally and Copper stay aggressive. Their scoring touches off Thomas’ playmaking could dismantle L.A.’s defense.
- Phoenix locks in early. Consistency on both ends can turn this into their fourth win over L.A. this season.
“Just her greatness… I think we’re all seeing it every night,” praised coach Nate Tibbetts.
The Sparks Can Win If…
- Defense finally gets the message. If they tighten rotations and stop giving up easy baskets, they can climb back.
- Buoyant offense ignites early. With Plum and co. hitting their stride, they can outpace Phoenix.
- Home energy raises the ceiling. Sparks fans are ready to rally behind a defending of home court.
Key WNBA Betting Trends
| Category | Mercury | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 6 wins in past 9 games | Inconsistent, off #1 defense |
| Key Contributors | Thomas historic-runs | Plum’s isolation, offensive output |
| Head-to-Head | Mercury won both season matchups | Must flip script in LA |
| Defense vs Offense | Efficient, balanced approach | High scoring, last in defense |
The Lean
Alyssa Thomas alone tilts this matchup in Phoenix’s favor. Backed by veteran consistency and cohesive offense, they are the smarter pick—particularly against a leaky Sparks defense.
- Projected Score: Mercury 85, Sparks 78
- Pick: Mercury Moneyline
- Total Lean: Under 170 points
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