Nc State Wolfpack vs East Carolina Pirates Picks and Predictions August 28th 2025

East Carolina vs NC State – Thursday Night Rivalry Renewed

A clash with no shortage of drama: East Carolina and North Carolina State reignite their in-state rivalry this Thursday, August 28, 2025, in Raleigh at Carter‑Finley Stadium. Their animosity reached a boiling point last December in the Military Bowl, where ECU upset NC State 26‑21—a game marred by an on-field brawl. The Wolfpack are seeking redemption on home soil.

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Opening odds list NC State as a 12.5‑point favorite, with the total set at 60.5 points, signaling expectations of a high-scoring affair.

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East Carolina Can Win If…

The Pirates finished strong in 2024, closing the year 8‑5 and defeating NC State in a bowl game that saw tensions erupt. They were 5‑2 with quarterback Katin Houser starting, and the sophomore transfer has taken big strides this offseason.

“Across the last eight months, he has taken a lot of ownership and leadership,” coach Blake Harrell said. “Make sure he’s not just playing the quarterback position, but being a leader for our football team.”

Houser’s dual-threat ability adds unpredictability, as seen in his 84 rushing yards against NC State last year. If he limits turnovers and ECU keeps the pace high, the Pirates can pull off another upset.

NC State Can Win If…

Revenge and discipline will be the Wolfpack’s focus, especially after their 6‑7 finish in 2024 ended with a loss and a brawl. Head coach Dave Doeren has emphasized preparation and mental toughness, especially with new coordinators in place.

“They’ve got a lot of good parts coming back,” Doeren said of ECU. “But we’re focused on how we play and making sure we handle our business.”

True sophomore CJ Bailey begins the year as the starting quarterback after gaining valuable experience last season. He’ll need to manage the game and avoid turnovers while the Wolfpack defense sets the tone early.

Key College Football Betting Trends

The Lean

Model Projection: NC State 35, East Carolina 23
Pick: NC State Moneyline
Total Lean: Under 60.5

The Wolfpack have something to prove and the roster talent to do it. Expect a more controlled, disciplined showing this time around. Bailey gives NC State stability at quarterback, and home-field advantage tips the balance.

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