Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions August 26th 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins August 26th 2025

The Minnesota Twins head to Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The Twins are struggling with a 59-72 record and are fourth in the AL Central. They are on a three-game losing streak and have won only two of their last ten games.

The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are at the top of the AL East with a 77-55 record. They have won six of their last ten games and are coming off a win. Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while Bailey Ober takes the mound for the Twins.

Twins vs Blue Jays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
• Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025
• Betting Odds: Twins Moneyline +146, Blue Jays Moneyline -172

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are looking to bounce back after a 10-4 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. Matt Wallner was a standout, hitting two home runs and driving in three runs. Despite the loss, the Twins showed power at the plate, which could be key in the upcoming game.

The Twins have hit 152 home runs this season, ranking 14th in the league. Their ability to hit the long ball gives them a chance to score quickly. Players like Byron Buxton, who has 25 home runs, are crucial to their offensive strategy.

Bailey Ober will be on the mound for the Twins. While his ERA is 5.05, he has the potential to keep the game close. The Twins’ bullpen will need to support him to secure a win against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game after a strong 10-4 win against the Minnesota Twins. Max Scherzer pitched six innings, allowing four runs, while the offense put up ten hits. Key players like Andrés Giménez and Alejandro Kirk each hit home runs, contributing to the team’s victory.

The Blue Jays lead the league in batting average and on-base percentage, with .267 and .335 respectively. Their ability to get on base and score runs is a major strength. With players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has a .297 average, they have the firepower to challenge any pitcher.

Chris Bassitt will take the mound for Toronto, bringing an 11-7 record and a 4.18 ERA. The Blue Jays’ pitching staff ranks third in strikeouts, showing their ability to shut down opposing hitters. With strong performances from both their hitters and pitchers, the Blue Jays have a solid chance to win this game.

The Lean

The Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -172. They have a strong batting average of .267, ranking 1st in the league. The Twins have a moneyline of +146 and a batting average of .237, ranking 15th. Given the Blue Jays’ higher batting average and better on-base percentage, the pick is for the Blue Jays to win. The projected score is Blue Jays 5, Twins 4.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .427, ranking 6th, while the Twins have a slugging percentage of .394, ranking 16th. Both teams have solid offensive capabilities, suggesting a higher-scoring game. The pick is to go over 8.5 runs, with a projected total score of 9 runs.

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Minnesota’s Early-Inning Troubles Continue

The Minnesota Twins enter Tuesday’s matchup with a troubling pattern of falling behind early. Their 10-4 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday was the latest example, as starter Joe Ryan allowed five runs in the first two innings. That came on the heels of two lopsided defeats to the Chicago White Sox, where Minnesota trailed 7-0 and 6-1 after two innings.

Right-hander Bailey Ober (4-7, 5.05 ERA) will take the mound Tuesday in hopes of breaking the cycle. He has already faced Toronto this season, surrendering five runs in seven innings of a 6-4 loss on June 6. Ober owns a 2-3 record with a 3.48 ERA in six career starts against the Blue Jays.

For bettors looking to navigate these shaky starts, the latest MLB picks offer insights into how Toronto has capitalized on Minnesota’s early woes.

Blue Jays Confident at Home

Chris Bassitt (11-7, 4.18 ERA) is scheduled to start for Toronto. Though he has a 5.26 ERA in seven career appearances against Minnesota, he hasn’t faced them since 2023. Toronto has been dominant at home this year, owning the best record in the majors at 43-21, compared to a 34-34 mark on the road.

The Blue Jays’ bullpen has been inconsistent during their recent 14-13 stretch, but their offense and home-field advantage have carried them through. Fans can explore more breakdowns in our MLB previews section.

Minnesota Finds a Bright Spot in Wallner

Despite their struggles, the Twins did flash some potential against veteran Max Scherzer. Outfielder Matt Wallner hit two home runs, including a two-run shot that briefly cut the deficit to 6-4 in the sixth inning. Manager Rocco Baldelli praised Wallner’s elite power, noting his ability to impact the baseball in ways few hitters can.

Still, Minnesota’s bullpen issues resurfaced immediately after, with Brooks Kriske allowing four runs in relief. With the roster thinned by recent trade deadline moves, the bullpen remains a liability. For those seeking sharper wagering strategies, the MLB expert betting guide offers valuable tools.

Toronto’s Stars Return to Form

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. returned to the lineup Monday after missing time with a hamstring tweak. Though he struggled early, he delivered a two-run single in the sixth to put the game out of reach. Meanwhile, Bo Bichette continued his torrid pace, extending his hit streak to 10 games with an RBI single in the opening frame. Bichette is hitting .436 during that stretch with five doubles and six RBIs.

Even with Addison Barger sidelined due to illness, Toronto’s lineup showed the depth and balance that has made them a contender in the AL East. To see how Toronto’s offense has stacked up over recent weeks, check the latest MLB game results

Outlook

The Twins have lost 11 of their last 14 games and must avoid another early collapse if they hope to even the series. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays’ formula remains straightforward: strike quickly, protect their lead, and let their hitters dictate the pace.

Those looking to take advantage of the betting opportunities can buy picks to see which experts are delivering consistent profits.