Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates September 11th 2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Pirates have a record of 64-82 and are ranked fifth in the NL Central. They are on a five-game losing streak and have gone 4-6 in their last ten games.
The Orioles have a record of 68-77 and are also ranked fifth in their division, the AL East. They have won their last two games and have an 8-2 record in their last ten games. The game is scheduled for Thursday, September 11, 2025, at 1:05 PM, with the weather forecast predicting broken clouds and mild conditions.
Pirates vs Orioles Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Baltimore Orioles
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
- Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Pirates Moneyline +125, Orioles Moneyline -148, Pirates Runline +1.5 (-165), Orioles Runline -1.5 (+139), Total Over 8.5 (-120), Total Under 8.5 (+100)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Game Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are desperate to stop their skid as they face the Baltimore Orioles in the series finale at Camden Yards. Baltimore has found life in late innings, winning four walk-off games in their last five outings, while Pittsburgh has dropped five straight. Both clubs send intriguing arms to the mound, with Johan Oviedo going for the Pirates and Cade Povich starting for Baltimore.
The Pirates Can Win If…
The Pirates will need Johan Oviedo to set the tone with another sharp outing. Oviedo enters with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP, showing an ability to limit damage and keep opponents off the bases. His ability to pitch deep into the game is crucial for a bullpen that has been overworked. At the plate, Andrew McCutchen and Spencer Horwitz provide the steady power the lineup needs. Pittsburgh ranks sixth in opponent batting average at .237, so if the defense holds and timely hits arrive, the Pirates can break their losing streak.
Pittsburgh Team Snapshot
| Category | Stat | League Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 3.87 | 10th |
| Opponent BA | .237 | 6th |
| Walks Drawn | 478 | 9th |
| Key Bat | Spencer Horwitz, HR+RBIs | Offensive contributor |
The Orioles Can Win If…
Baltimore continues to thrive on late-inning heroics, and Cade Povich has a chance to extend that momentum. Despite his 5.16 ERA, Povich showed flashes of command in his last start against San Diego, and with offensive weapons like Jackson Holliday, Gunnar Henderson, and Dylan Beavers, the Orioles have the ability to create runs quickly. Baltimore sits top ten in home runs this season with 173 and holds a .401 slugging percentage, giving them the edge in extra-base power. If Povich delivers a quality start and the lineup stays patient, the Orioles are well-positioned to complete the sweep.
Baltimore Team Snapshot
| Category | Stat | League Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Home Runs | 173 | 10th |
| Slugging % | .401 | 12th |
| Recent Wins | 4 walk-offs in 5 games | Late-game success |
| Key Bat | Dylan Beavers .305 | Rookie impact |
Matchups That Matter
The duel between Oviedo and Baltimore’s left-handed bats is one to watch, as Oviedo has shown resilience in tight spots. Yainer Diaz punished Toronto earlier this week for Houston, and the Pirates will hope someone like McCutchen can replicate that clutch production. On the other side, the Orioles will try to extend Johan Oviedo’s pitch counts and force Pittsburgh’s bullpen into action. The Pirates’ discipline at the plate could be the difference in whether they can control the tempo or give Baltimore more late-inning chances.
Recent Series and Momentum
The Pirates have dropped five straight and enter as underdogs once again. Baltimore, despite sitting at the bottom of the AL East, has been one of the most entertaining teams in September, finding ways to win with walk-offs and clutch hitting. Dylan Beavers has quickly become a spark, batting .305 in his first 20 big-league games and delivering a game-ending single on Wednesday. With momentum squarely on their side, the Orioles have their eyes on a sweep.
Picks and Predictions
Baltimore is the -148 favorite, while Pittsburgh is priced at +125. My model projects a 5-3 Orioles win, with Cade Povich surviving just long enough for the lineup to provide support. The Pirates’ edge in pitching metrics is notable, but Baltimore’s timely hitting and home power lean the projection toward the home team. The total is set at 8.5, and with both teams carrying inconsistent offenses, the under at +100 looks like the sharper play, as the projection sits at eight combined runs.
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