Mets vs Phillies Picks and Predictions

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets September 11th 2025

The New York Mets will play against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game is set for Thursday, September 11, 2025, at 7:15 PM. Fans can watch the game on FOX.

The Mets have a record of 76-70 and are second in the NL East. They are on a five-game losing streak. The Phillies lead the division with an 86-60 record and have won their last three games. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with scattered clouds.

Mets vs Phillies Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Venue: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline +121, Phillies Moneyline -143

The Mets Can Win If Their Power Lineup Breaks Out

The New York Mets rely on Juan Soto’s big bats and veteran presence to get back in this one. Soto’s recent 3‑for‑5 with a home run shows his threat is real. With close to 200 home runs this season and ranking top‑3 in walks, the Mets have the tools to manufacture runs even when things get tight. If David Peterson sinks his secondary stuff and limits Phillies power hitters early, the Mets could make this a tight game.

The Phillies Can Win If Their Pitching Holds Up and Offense Stays Sharp

Philadelphia enters off impressive wins, including the recent 11‑3 win versus New York. Cristopher Sánchez delivered six solid innings allowing one run, while Kevin Schwarber and Bryce Harper continue to swing the bat with authority. With solid metrics in batting average and on‑base percentage, and reliable starting pitching —controlling late innings will be key. If their offense stays consistent, Phillies are well-positioned to finish strong.

The Lean

Moneyline Pick: Phillies
Projected Score: Phillies 5, Mets 4
Best Bet: Phillies ML + Over 8.5 runs

For more expert previews, predictions, and picks check out the MLB picks page.

Expanded Analysis

Philadelphia has won three straight games against the Mets, increasing their division lead, while New York is slipping. Mets have now lost five in a row, making momentum a factor. Meanwhile, Phillies are tightening in on securing the NL East.

Pitching Matchup Breakdown

Peterson has been solid but has shown vulnerability in stretches. Sánchez, however, has been effective lately—limiting damage and keeping the Mets under pressure. Phillies’ bullpen is also more reliable, which matters late in tight games.

Offensive Capabilities & Pressure Situations

The Mets’ strength is power and plate discipline. But they’ve had trouble stringing hits into rallies lately. The Phillies have been delivering timely offense, especially with runners in scoring position. In games like this, small moments matter: walk, extra base hit, bullpen miscue.

For real‑time odds, movement, and more game previews visit our Scores & Odds section at the end of the article.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who are the confirmed starters?

David Peterson for the Mets, Cristopher Sánchez for the Phillies.

What’s the betting prediction?

Pick: Phillies ML. Expect over 8.5 total runs.

How’s Juan Soto performing lately?

He’s heating up — multiple hits, including a recent NHL homer, showing his offensive potential.

What are Mets’ biggest concerns right now?

Slumping offense, inconsistency from starters, and limited margin for error in the wild‑card race.

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions September 11th 2025