California Golden Bears vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Picks and Predictions September 13th 2025

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Minnesota’s big tests: Cal’s QB and the time zone change

Minnesota Golden Gophers (2‑0) hit the road for a rare Late Night matchup against California Golden Bears (2‑0) in Berkeley, Calif., on Saturday, September 13, 2025. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. local / 9:30 p.m. CT, meaning a long night for Gopher fans back in the Twin Cities. With both teams unbeaten and looking to establish momentum, this could be a defining early season test.

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Minnesota Can Win If…

  • They manage the time zone shift well. Coach P.J. Fleck says he and his staff have consulted a sleep doctor and adjusted schedules. If the team is physically ready and mentally sharp late into the Central Time night, that advantage preparation could pay off.
  • Their defense continues its strong start. Minnesota has dominated early, notably a 66‑0 win vs. Northwestern State, showing both run defensive strength and ability to force turnovers.
  • They find good options in the backfield if tailback Darius Taylor is limited or unavailable. Depth and balance in the run game will be important to control the clock and keep Cal’s offense off rhythm.

Cal Can Win If…

  • Their true freshman QB, Jaron‑Keawe Sagapolutele, stays poised and accurate. He’s made a strong start: good passing numbers, multiple touchdowns, and composure under pressure. If he keeps progressing, he can test Minnesota’s secondary.
  • They get contributions from their running game too. Kendrick Raphael had a big game against Texas Southern; balance will force Minnesota to defend both run and pass.
  • They capitalize on home field and the late‑night factor going the other way. Minnesota will be worked by the time shift; if Cal plays with energy and keeps momentum, they could exploit gaps as the night drags on.

Key Trends & Stats

CategoryMinnesota Golden GophersCalifornia Golden Bears
Current Record2‑02‑0
Recent PerformanceDominant wins; strong defense, especially vs Northwestern State.Solid wins; good offense but some inefficiencies, esp. early in drives.
QB PlayMore experienced options, though not without riskFreshman QB shows poise and promise; potential upside
Injuries / Missing PlayersTailback Darius Taylor questionable; could impact offense.Star linebacker Cade Uluave will miss first half due to targeting.
Travel / Time Zone FactorChallenging start time and cross‑country travel; Fleck has planned for it.Home advantage; later start works in their favor

The Lean

Pick: California Golden Bears Moneyline
Alternate Lean / Value Pick: Minnesota + spread, depending on line movement

Projected Final Score: California 24, Minnesota 21

Reasoning: This game looks like it will be tight. I lean Cal because of their momentum, home field, and having a true freshman QB who has started strong. Minnesota’s defense is very good, and even with potential offensive limitations, they won’t be easy to beat. But Cal has just enough offensive balance and home energy (especially as the game drags late) to edge them in a close one.

For alternate bets, keep an eye on whether the game stays under a certain total — could be lower scoring given defensive strengths and the late hour.


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