New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Picks and Predictions September 12th 2025

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The Texas Rangers take on the New York Mets at Citi Field on Friday night. The Rangers have a record of 77-70 and are ranked third in the AL West. They are on a four-game winning streak and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games.

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The Mets, with a record of 76-71, hold second place in the NL East. They are currently on a six-game losing streak and have a 3-7 record in their last ten games. The game will feature Jacob deGrom starting for the Rangers and Jonah Tong for the Mets. The weather forecast calls for a mild day with clear skies and a light breeze.

Rangers vs Mets Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets
  • Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Rangers Moneyline -108, Mets Moneyline -110, Rangers Runline -1.5 (+152), Mets Runline +1.5 (-185), Total Over 7.5 (-117), Total Under 7.5 (-103)

Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions

The Texas Rangers head to Queens for a crucial interleague series against the New York Mets. All eyes are on Jacob deGrom’s emotional return to Citi Field, where he spent nearly a decade as the Mets’ ace. With playoff implications for both sides, Friday night sets the tone for a must-watch three-game set.

The Rangers Can Win If…

Texas is coming off a 6-3 win over Milwaukee, powered by Jake Burger’s two-homer night. The Rangers’ pitching staff leads MLB in ERA (3.45), and their opponents’ batting average of .228 ranks second. With deGrom (11-7, 2.78 ERA) on the mound, the Rangers can control the game’s tempo and frustrate the Mets’ bats.

On offense, Corey Seager anchors a lineup with balance and power. Seager has 21 homers, while Burger and Josh Jung add extra depth. Texas doesn’t just rely on power swings; their situational hitting has improved in recent weeks. If deGrom delivers and the lineup provides early run support, the Rangers are built to leave Queens with a win.

Rangers Snapshot

CategoryStatLeague Rank
Record77-703rd in AL West
Team ERA3.451st
Opponent BA.2282nd
HR LeaderSeager (21)Team leader

The Mets Can Win If…

The Mets are reeling after a 6-4 loss to Philadelphia capped a four-game sweep. Still, their offensive profile shows why they remain dangerous. Ranked 5th in OBP (.327) and 5th in home runs (199), the Mets can strike quickly, especially with Pete Alonso (33 HR, 113 RBI) and Juan Soto (39 HR) at the heart of the lineup.

Jonah Tong (1-1, 4.09 ERA) gets the start. Though unproven, the rookie has shown flashes of composure and could benefit from early run support. New York’s bullpen has been inconsistent, but if Tong limits damage and the Mets’ sluggers break through against deGrom, Citi Field could swing momentum their way.

Mets Snapshot

CategoryStatLeague Rank
Record76-713rd in NL East
HR Total1995th
OBP.3275th
HR LeaderSoto (39)Team leader

Key Matchups and Betting Outlook

The storylines make this matchup fascinating. For the Rangers, deGrom’s return isn’t just emotional — it’s strategic. His command and velocity can silence the Mets, but if New York’s lineup extends at-bats, fatigue could become a factor. For the Mets, Alonso and Soto must generate instant offense to put pressure on deGrom early.

From a betting angle, oddsmakers have it nearly even: Rangers -108, Mets -110. The projected total is 7.5 runs. With Texas ranking first in ERA and the Mets ranking top five in home runs, this clash tilts between a low-scoring pitcher’s duel and a sudden slugfest. Bettors should keep an eye on live updates via the MLB odds board to track movement on totals and lines.

Series Context and Trends

The Rangers have surged since late August, going 14-4, and are just two games behind both the Astros and Mariners in the AL West. Meanwhile, the Mets are spiraling with a six-game losing streak and a shrinking wild-card cushion. Momentum clearly favors Texas, but the Citi Field crowd could energize the home team in what feels like a playoff game.

New York has historically performed well in home openers of big series, but the Rangers’ recent offensive surge and the deGrom factor provide an added edge. Both clubs know that every game counts, making this matchup one of the weekend’s most intriguing.

Picks and Predictions

Projection: Rangers 4, Mets 3. DeGrom’s dominance and the Rangers’ deep rotation give them the slight edge, but the Mets’ power makes them a live underdog.

The total of 7.5 feels sharp, with our projection landing at 7 runs. That leans toward the under (-103), especially with deGrom motivated in his return. Rangers moneyline (-108) is the play, while Mets backers could consider an alternate runline for value.

For more daily breakdowns and expert betting tips, head over to the MLB picks hub.