Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions September 13th 2025

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Tigers, amid injury worries, look to snap Marlins’ winning streak

Detroit Tigers (84-64) are closing in on their first AL Central crown since 2014, but injuries have suddenly cast doubt. Ace Tarik Skubal exited Friday’s 8-2 loss with side tightness, and shortstop Javier Báez also left after fouling a ball off his face. Now Detroit turns to veteran Charlie Morton on Saturday to steady the ship.

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The Miami Marlins (69-79), meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak thanks to strong pitching and timely power hitting. Checking recent MLB game results, Miami has limited opponents to just five runs in its past three games while striking out 32 batters.


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Detroit Tigers Can Win If…

  • Charlie Morton delivers a steady start. At 41, Morton has a 14-7 career record vs. Miami, but his 5.59 ERA this year shows inconsistency. He needs to set the tone early.
  • The lineup steps up despite injuries. Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson remain the offensive anchors; with Báez day-to-day, the middle order must produce.
  • They refocus quickly. Dropping two straight this late in September could be dangerous — Detroit must rebound immediately.

“I love having him at the top, especially when he’s in the zone,” manager A.J. Hinch said of CF Parker Meadows. “His speed is back, and he’s bringing his full skill set to the table.”

Miami Marlins Can Win If…

  • Janson Junk contains Detroit’s bats. He has never faced the Tigers, but Detroit ranks top-10 in slugging; command is key to avoiding damage.
  • Agustin Ramirez keeps mashing. The rookie catcher hit his 20th homer Friday, just one shy of Miami’s single-season catcher record.
  • They keep riding momentum. With power bats like Heriberto Hernández and Joey Wiemer chipping in, Miami can extend its streak with timely runs.

“Over the past four or five games, we’ve swung the bats well and strung some innings together, and that’s what it takes,” manager Clayton McCullough said.


Key MLB Betting Trends

CategoryTigersMarlins
Record84-64 (1st in AL Central)69-79 (3rd in NL East)
Last 10 Games4-6, two-game skid6-4, three-game streak
Runs Per GameTop-10 in sluggingMiddle of NL pack
ERA / Opp Runs3.96 team ERA4.73 team ERA
Home/Away RecordStrong at home, decent awaySlightly better at home

The Leans

Main Pick: Tigers Moneyline (-130)
Projected Final Score: Tigers 5, Marlins 4

  • Runline Angle: Tigers -1.5 (+124) → Riskier, but Detroit has power to separate late.
  • Total Runs Angle: Under 9 (-115) → Injuries plus Morton’s experience vs. Miami suggest a tighter game.

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Best Bet Box

Best Bet: Tigers ML (-130) & Under 9 (Parlay)
Confidence: ★★★★☆


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