Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions September 15th 2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays will visit the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Monday, September 15, 2025. The Blue Jays hold the top spot in the AL East with a record of 87-62. They are on a four-game winning streak and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games.

The Rays are fourth in the AL East with a record of 73-76. They are coming off a loss and have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last ten games. The game will be played at night, and the weather is expected to be very hot with a light breeze under clear skies.

Blue Jays vs Rays Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, FL
  • Date: Monday, September 15, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Blue Jays Moneyline -126, Rays Moneyline +108, Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+128), Rays Runline +1.5 (-154), Total Over 8.5 (-115), Total Under 8.5 (-105)

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a strong performance against the Baltimore Orioles, winning 11-2. Shane Bieber pitched well, allowing just one run over six innings. George Springer led the offense with a home run and two doubles, contributing to the team’s 14 hits.

The Blue Jays lead the league in batting average with .270 and on-base percentage at .336. They have a solid slugging percentage, ranking fourth in the league. Their ability to get on base and hit for power makes them a tough team to beat.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette are key players for the Blue Jays. Guerrero Jr. has a .304 average and 23 home runs, while Bichette boasts a .311 average. With players like these, the Blue Jays have the offensive firepower to win any game.

Stat CategoryTeam RankingValue
Batting Average1st.270
On-Base Percentage1st.336
Slugging Percentage4th.440

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a narrow 4-3 loss to the Chicago Cubs. In that game, Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz each hit a home run, showing their power at the plate. Adrian Houser pitched six innings, allowing only two earned runs, which kept the game close.

This season, the Rays have a batting average of .252, ranking 6th in the league. Their ability to steal bases is top-notch, with 182 stolen bases, leading the league. These stats highlight the Rays’ aggressive base running and solid hitting, which can help them win games.

Junior Caminero is a key player for the Rays, with 44 home runs and 108 RBIs this season. His performance at third base is crucial for the team’s success. With a strong lineup that includes Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe, the Rays have the offensive firepower needed to win against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Stat CategoryTeam RankingValue
Batting Average6th.252
Stolen Bases1st182
Home Runs9th188

The Lean

The Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -126 against the Rays at +108. The Blue Jays have the best batting average and on-base percentage in the league. Their strong hitting gives them an edge. My model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 5-4.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Both teams have solid pitching, but the Blue Jays’ top-ranked offense should push the total over. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so I recommend betting on the over.

Can Trey Yesavage Make an Impact?

The Blue Jays are placing their trust in Trey Yesavage, who has shown dominance throughout the minors. With 160 strikeouts in just 98 innings, he brings heat and control to a lineup that’s already dangerous.

Can the Rays Salvage Their Playoff Hopes?

The Rays are 7.5 games back and need to turn it around fast. Despite going 5-1 against Toronto this season, they haven’t faced this version of the Blue Jays. Can their aggressive base running and power bats close the gap?

Final Thoughts on Blue Jays vs. Rays Picks

If you’re backing Toronto, their elite offense and top prospect on the mound offer great value. On the other hand, Tampa Bay’s recent struggles could make them a risky play.

Check more MLB picks, team breakdowns, and live odds at Scores and Stats.