Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions September 15th 2025

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees September 15th 2025

The New York Yankees travel to Target Field to play against the Minnesota Twins on Monday, September 15, 2025. The Yankees hold a record of 83-66, placing them second in the AL East. They have been performing well lately, with a 6-4 record in their last ten games.

The Twins, with a record of 65-84, are fourth in the AL Central. They have struggled recently, losing two games in a row and winning only three of their last ten. This night game will be played under clear skies with a light breeze, providing a pleasant setting for fans at the stadium.

Yankees vs Twins Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
• Venue: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN
• Date: Monday, September 15, 2025
• Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -190, Twins Moneyline +160, Yankees Runline -1.5 (-115), Twins Runline +1.5 (-105), Total Over 8.5 (-120), Total Under 8.5 (-101)

The Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees are coming off a close 6-4 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Despite the defeat, Aaron Judge hit a home run and had two hits, showing his power at the plate. Amed Rosario and José Caballero also contributed with home runs, making the Yankees’ lineup a threat in any game.

Statistically, the Yankees lead the league in home runs with 254, showing their ability to score quickly. Their slugging percentage is the highest in the league at .454. With a batting average against of .232, their pitching staff has also been effective at limiting opposing hitters.

Carlos Rodón will start for the Yankees, bringing a 3.11 ERA and a 16-8 record. With Judge and Cody Bellinger leading the lineup, the Yankees have the tools to outscore the Minnesota Twins.

The Twins Can Win If…

The Twins are looking to bounce back after a 6-4 loss to the Diamondbacks. Mickey Gasper and Matt Wallner each hit home runs, and Bailey Ober struck out nine in six innings.

Minnesota ranks 10th in home runs with 178. Kody Clemens and Byron Buxton are key contributors, with 19 and 31 homers respectively.

Simeon Woods Richardson will take the mound. He holds a 6-4 record with a 4.58 ERA and will look to contain the Yankees’ power. The Twins’ bullpen ranks 7th in blown saves, giving them a chance to close games effectively.

The Lean

The Yankees are favored at -190 on the moneyline, with the Twins at +160. The Yankees’ offense ranks 1st in slugging and home runs, while the Twins’ ERA is higher at 4.61.

My model predicts a 5-3 Yankees win. Backing the Yankees straight up offers value.

The total is set at 8.5 runs. With New York’s power and the Twins’ pitching vulnerability, my model projects 8 total runs. The recommendation is to take the over.

Key Team Stats Comparison

Probable Pitchers

Wild Card Watch: Yankees Hold Firm

The Yankees enter the series holding the top AL wild-card spot. They sit 4 games behind the Blue Jays for the AL East lead, with the Red Sox and Astros trailing closely in the wild-card race.

Aaron Judge remains scorching hot with five home runs in his past six games. His presence at the plate has lifted the Yankees during critical matchups.

Twins Looking to Finish Strong

Despite sitting out of playoff contention, the Twins are still fighting. Matt Wallner emphasized the team’s effort to finish the season strong and build momentum for 2026.

Simeon Woods Richardson aims for back-to-back wins after a solid outing against the Angels. However, facing a lineup like the Yankees will be a tougher challenge.

Final Takeaway

Expect fireworks at the plate from both clubs, but the Yankees’ superior power and Rodón’s consistency give them the edge. For more game analysis and betting tools, check out the MLB odds and our expert betting guide.

Pick: Yankees ML and Over 8.5