Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Picks and Predictions September 19th 2025

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The New York Yankees visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Yankees have a record of 86-67 and are ranked second in the AL East. They are currently on a three-game winning streak. The Orioles, with a record of 72-81, are fifth in the same division and lost their last game. The game is set for Friday, September 19, 2025, at 7:05 PM.

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Yankees’ manager Aaron Boone will lead his team against the Orioles, managed by interim Tony Mansolino. New York’s starting pitcher is Will Warren, who has an ERA of 4.44. Baltimore’s Trevor Rogers will start for the Orioles, boasting an impressive ERA of 1.43. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with clear skies, ideal for an outdoor game.

Yankees vs Orioles Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
  • Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline -119, Orioles Moneyline +101

The New York Yankees Can Win If…

The New York Yankees enter this matchup riding the momentum of a dominant 7-0 win over Baltimore. Max Fried led the way with seven innings of one-run ball and 13 strikeouts, while Paul Goldschmidt and Austin Wells added two hits apiece.

The Yankees lead the league in slugging percentage and home runs, making them one of the most dangerous offenses in MLB. They also rank fourth in batting average against at .232, showcasing the balance of their pitching staff and ability to shut down opposing lineups.

Aaron Judge remains the centerpiece of their attack with 48 home runs and a .328 batting average, while Cody Bellinger adds depth with 29 homers. If the Yankees continue combining power with timely hitting, they will remain in control of this series.

The Baltimore Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles will try to regroup after being blanked by New York. Their bats were quiet with just three hits in the opener, but before that they had scored 15 runs in a three-game sweep of the White Sox. Gunnar Henderson and Dylan Beavers remain critical in sparking the lineup with power and clutch hitting.

Trevor Rogers gets the start for Baltimore and brings a stellar 1.43 ERA and a WHIP of 0.89. His ability to suppress baserunners makes him one of the toughest matchups for any offense. Against the Blue Jays last week, Rogers tossed five shutout innings, continuing his impressive season.

If the Orioles can get Rogers another quality outing and generate timely offense from their young bats, they have the pieces to bounce back at home. Limiting the Yankees’ early scoring will be critical after Thursday’s one-sided loss.

The Lean

According to the latest MLB odds, the Yankees are favored at -119 with the Orioles at +101. New York’s league-leading slugging percentage and power give them a narrow edge. My model projects a 6-4 Yankees win, making them the pick on the moneyline.

The total is set at 9.0 runs, with the over at -104 and the under at -118. Given the Yankees’ offensive firepower and the Orioles’ recent struggles at the plate, scoring could lean higher. The projection of 10 combined runs suggests taking the over. For more insights, see MLB Picks and the Expert MLB Betting Guide.

Key Betting Trends

TeamLast 10 GamesMoneyline RecordOver/Under Record
New York Yankees6-46-47-3
Baltimore Orioles4-64-65-5

Additional betting notes:

  • The Yankees are 5-1 in their last six road games.
  • The Orioles are 6-2 in Trevor Rogers’ last eight starts.
  • The over has hit in four of the last five Yankees–Orioles matchups at Camden Yards.

Players to Watch

PlayerTeamStat Highlight
Aaron JudgeYankees48 HR, .328 AVG, MVP-level production
Cody BellingerYankees29 HR, lineup depth behind Judge
Max FriedYankees13 Ks in last outing, 7 IP of dominance
Trevor RogersOrioles1.43 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, staff ace
Gunnar HendersonOriolesPower bat, key for generating offense
Dylan BeaversOriolesRising star, provides extra power

Game Preview Recap

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles continue their four-game set with New York looking to extend their recent surge. Thursday’s 7-0 shutout was a statement win for the Yankees, who have now won six of their last eight games while tightening their grip on a postseason berth.

Baltimore faces a steep challenge, needing to win their final nine games to finish at .500. They will lean heavily on Trevor Rogers, whose breakout season has made him one of the toughest pitchers in the AL. His ability to navigate the Yankees’ lineup will dictate Baltimore’s chances.

On the other side, Will Warren will start for New York, searching for his first September win. While he has been inconsistent, the Yankees’ explosive offense provides him with significant run support potential.

This matchup highlights the contrast between a Yankees team gearing up for October and an Orioles team battling for pride. Fans can follow updates on MLB Scores & Odds and track both clubs on the Teams page.