New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions September 19th 2025

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals September 19th 2025

The Washington Nationals will take on the New York Mets at Citi Field in New York. The Nationals have a record of 62-91 and are ranked fifth in their division. They are on a four-game losing streak and have gone 3-7 in their last ten games.

The Mets hold a record of 79-74 and sit in second place in the division. They recently won their last game and also have a 3-7 record in their last ten games. The game is scheduled for Friday, September 19, 2025, at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on SNY. Weather conditions are expected to be clear with a light breeze.

Nationals vs Mets Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
• Venue: Citi Field in New York, NY
• Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
• Betting Odds: Nationals Moneyline +170, Mets Moneyline -202, Nationals Runline +1.5 (-127), Mets Runline -1.5 (+105), Total Over 8.5 (-105), Total Under 8.5 (-115)

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals are coming off a tough series against the Atlanta Braves. In their most recent game, they fell to the Braves 9-4. Despite the loss, Dylan Crews and James Wood showed strong performances, each collecting two hits. Crews also scored twice, adding to his team’s efforts.

The Nationals have some stats that can help them win against the New York Mets. They rank 9th in doubles with 249 and 9th in stolen bases with 127. These stats show their ability to create scoring chances. With Andrew Alvarez starting on the mound, who has an impressive ERA of 1.15, they have a solid chance to control the game.

Key players like CJ Abrams and Josh Bell can make a difference. Abrams has 87 runs this season, ranking 19th in the league. Bell leads the team with 20 home runs, providing power in the lineup. With these players stepping up, the Nationals have the potential to secure a win.

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a strong 6-1 win against the San Diego Padres. Jonah Tong delivered on the mound with 5 innings, allowing no earned runs and striking out 8. Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo each hit a home run, driving in 5 of the team’s 6 runs.

The Mets have been solid at the plate, ranking 4th in home runs with 213 this season. Their on-base percentage is 5th in the league at .326, showing their ability to get on base. With key players like Pete Alonso, who has 37 home runs, the Mets have the firepower to score big.

Brandon Sproat will start for the Mets with a 2.25 ERA and a WHIP of 1.08. His recent performance shows he can keep opposing hitters in check. With a lineup that includes Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto, the Mets have the talent to secure another win.

Latest Betting Trends

• The Mets have won just three of their last seven series overall but are 2-0 in their last two home series.
• New York is 5-2 in its past seven games against teams above .500 but only 3-7 in its last 10 matchups against clubs with losing records.
• The Nationals are 2-7 in their last nine games and have been outscored 58-28 during that stretch.
• Washington has dropped five straight road series since early August.
• The Mets have hit 15 home runs across their last six games, while the Nationals have hit only five in that same span.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -202 against the Nationals, who have a moneyline of +170. Given the Mets’ better hitting and pitching stats, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win. The model projects a score of Mets 5, Nationals 3, supporting the Mets’ moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have a solid pitching staff with an ERA of 4.01, while the Nationals struggle with a 5.33 ERA. The model projects a total of 8 runs, suggesting the under 8.5 (-115) is the better pick.

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Mets Fighting for Wild Card Position

The New York Mets return home to face the Washington Nationals in a series that carries major postseason implications. New York has recently shown they can beat playoff-level opponents, but their struggles against non-contenders continue to keep their wild card hopes in jeopardy.

At 79-74, the Mets hold a slim two-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds in the National League wild card race. They also remain four games behind the Padres for the second wild card spot. For updated results and standings across the league, visit the MLB game results

Rookie Duel on the Mound

Friday’s opener will feature two rookies: right-hander Brandon Sproat for the Mets and left-hander Andrew Alvarez for the Nationals. Sproat enters 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA, while Alvarez has impressed early with a 1.15 ERA and a 1-0 record. Both tossed six scoreless innings in their most recent outings but will be tested under playoff-style pressure. Bettors tracking how these young pitchers perform can find insights in the MLB previews

Mets’ Recent Offensive Spark

New York is coming off a key series win against the Padres, capped by Brandon Nimmo’s three-run homer in a 6-1 victory. The Mets hit 10 home runs and outscored San Diego 18-11 across the three games, showing signs of offensive power they’ll need to carry into this series. Manager Carlos Mendoza stressed the importance of building momentum, and that starts with avoiding another misstep against a last-place team. For deeper wagering strategies, check the expert MLB betting guide

Nationals Playing Spoiler Role

The Nationals started September with seven wins in eight games, including a series victory against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. However, they collapsed against the Braves this week, losing four straight while being outscored 31-10. At 62-91, Washington is on track for its fifth last-place finish in six years. Even so, they have already shown they can challenge the Mets, taking two of three from New York in August.

Those looking to see how handicappers rate the potential for another upset can review the leaderboard of top MLB experts

Outlook and Betting Angle

The Mets’ biggest obstacle may be themselves. While they have proven they can beat contenders, their inconsistency against weaker opponents has been costly. With fewer than 10 games remaining, they cannot afford another slip against Washington.

For those interested in wagering, this series represents a classic test of focus and consistency for a contender facing a spoiler. To explore today’s full betting options and predictions, visit the MLB picks page. For additional premium advice, you can also buy picks from top experts