Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions September 24th 2025

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals September 24th 2025

The Washington Nationals will play against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The Nationals have a record of 64-94 and are ranked 5th in the NL East. They are on a two-game losing streak and have won only 3 of their last 10 games.

On the other hand, the Braves have a record of 75-83 and are 4th in the same division. They are on a hot streak, winning their last 10 games. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, September 24, 2025, at 12:15 PM, with overcast clouds expected.

Nationals vs Braves Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
• Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
• Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
• Betting Odds: Nationals Moneyline +158, Braves Moneyline -189, Nationals Runline +1.5 (-128), Braves Runline -1.5 (+107), Total Over 9.0 (-117), Total Under 9.0 (-103)

The Nationals Can Win If…

The Washington Nationals recently lost a close game to the Atlanta Braves, 3-2. Brad Lord pitched six innings, allowing only two earned runs. James Wood was a standout hitter, contributing a home run and an RBI in the game.

The Nationals have shown they can compete with strong teams. Their batting lineup includes James Wood, who has hit 28 home runs this season. CJ Abrams adds depth with a batting average of .259 and 18 home runs.

The Nationals have a solid chance against the Braves with Andrew Alvarez starting. Alvarez has an impressive ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.10. Facing Bryce Elder, who has a higher ERA of 5.36, gives the Nationals an edge in pitching.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a narrow 3-2 win against the Washington Nationals. Hurston Waldrep pitched six solid innings, allowing only one run. Michael Harris II was a standout performer with two home runs, driving in two runs and scoring twice.

The Braves have shown strong offensive power, ranking 10th in the league with 184 home runs this season. Their on-base percentage is also impressive at .320, placing them 8th. These stats highlight their ability to score runs and put pressure on opposing pitchers.

Bryce Elder will be on the mound for the Braves. Despite his 5.36 ERA, the team has confidence in his ability to deliver a quality start. The Braves’ bullpen is reliable, with only 21 blown saves, ranking 4th in the league, providing solid support for Elder.

Latest Betting Trends

• Atlanta has won 10 straight games, its first double-digit streak since June 2022.
• The Braves are 9-3 against Washington this season.
• Michael Harris II has hit .538 with two home runs and six RBIs over his last three games.
• Bryce Elder has posted a 2.84 ERA in his career against Washington.
• Washington rookie Andrew Alvarez owns a 2.84 ERA overall but struggled in his most recent outing.

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The Lean

The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -189 against the Nationals. The Braves have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 11th and 8th, respectively. With the Nationals’ pitching ERA at 5.35, ranked 28th, the Braves are the pick to win. The model projects a score of Braves 6, Nationals 4.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Braves have a solid offense with 184 home runs, ranking 10th. The Nationals have allowed 204 home runs, ranked 21st. With both teams’ offensive and defensive stats, the model projects a total of 10 runs, making the over 9.0 a reasonable pick.

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Atlanta Extends Streak Into Double Digits

The Atlanta Braves are finishing their season with pride and momentum. After a 3-2 win on Tuesday night, Atlanta (75-83) pushed its winning streak to 10 games, the longest active run in Major League Baseball. The Braves now aim for their 11th straight victory as they close out a three-game set against the Washington Nationals.

Washington (64-94) has dropped nine of its 12 matchups with Atlanta this season, continuing a difficult campaign. For Atlanta, manager Brian Snitker emphasized the fight his team has shown, noting they’re playing with the energy of a playoff contender rather than a club out of contention.

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Michael Harris II Leads the Surge

One of the driving forces behind Atlanta’s surge has been outfielder Michael Harris II. After struggling before the All-Star break, Harris has come alive in recent weeks.

On Tuesday, he homered twice, his first long balls since late August, and raised his season average to .246. Over the past three games, Harris is hitting .538 (7-for-13) with two doubles, two homers, and six RBIs. His resurgence has tied his career-best mark with 19 home runs.

Snitker praised Harris’ consistency in defense and his perseverance through offensive struggles, pointing out how the season looks far more balanced thanks to this late push.

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Pitching Matchup: Elder vs. Alvarez

The finale features Atlanta right-hander Bryce Elder (8-10, 5.36 ERA) against Washington rookie left-hander Andrew Alvarez (1-1, 2.84 ERA).

Elder, recalled from Triple-A earlier this season, will make his 28th start of the year, the most on the Braves staff. He has shown flashes of brilliance, allowing two or fewer runs in five of his last six outings. However, he has also struggled with consistency, giving up five or more runs seven times this season.

Against Washington, Elder owns a 2-1 record with a 2.84 ERA across five starts. He last faced the Nationals in May, tossing six innings of one-run ball in a no-decision.

Alvarez is making just his fifth career start and his first against Atlanta. The lefty impressed early, allowing only two runs in his first three outings combined. But his last start against the New York Mets was rocky, surrendering six runs (four earned) in just 3 1/3 innings. Nationals interim manager Miguel Cairo emphasized his strike-throwing and competitive edge as the keys to his development.

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Braves Make Roster Adjustments

Atlanta shuffled its roster this week after losing second baseman Ozzie Albies for the remainder of the season due to a fractured hamate bone. Brett Wisely was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett and debuted with a walk and an out.

The Braves also added reliever Joel Payamps, recently claimed off waivers from Milwaukee, and he delivered a scoreless inning Tuesday night. Right-hander Nathan Wiles was optioned to Gwinnett to make room.

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