Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions September 28th 2025

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays September 28th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The Rays hold a record of 77-84 and are ranked 4th in the AL East. They have lost their last three games and are 4-6 in their last ten. Manager Kevin Cash will look to end the season on a positive note.

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On the other hand, the Blue Jays have a 93-68 record and are 2nd in the AL East. They are on a three-game winning streak and have also gone 4-6 in their last ten games. John Schneider’s team will aim to continue their winning momentum. The game will be played under clear skies, but the retractable roof at Rogers Centre may minimize any weather impact.

Rays vs Blue Jays Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Venue: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON
• Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rays Moneyline +167, Blue Jays Moneyline -203, Rays Runline +1.5 (-123), Blue Jays Runline -1.5 (+102), Total Over 7.5 (-117), Total Under 7.5 (-104)

Blue Jays vs Rays MLB Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (93-68) close the regular season Sunday at home against the Tampa Bay Rays (77-84). Toronto can clinch the AL East with a win or a Yankees loss. For more roster details, check the Toronto Blue Jays team page.

Tampa Bay has been eliminated but remains dangerous, especially with speed and young arms. They’ll try to spoil Toronto’s shot at a division crown. For season context, visit the Tampa Bay Rays team page.

The Rays Can Win If…

Ian Seymour (4-2, 2.85 ERA) needs to repeat his Sept. 17 outing vs Toronto, when he allowed just one unearned run over seven innings. Tampa Bay’s speed (191 stolen bases, best in MLB) must pressure Kevin Gausman early. With Jonathan Aranda heating up and Junior Caminero carrying 45 homers this season, timely power plus aggressive baserunning give the Rays their path.

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.47 ERA) limits traffic with his 1.03 WHIP and neutralizes Tampa Bay’s running game. Toronto’s league-best .264 batting average and .331 OBP create constant scoring chances. If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette deliver behind hot bats like Ernie Clement and Alejandro Kirk, the Jays’ offense should secure the AL East.

Matchup Breakdown

Rays: Seymour has impressed as a rookie, allowing two runs or fewer in three straight starts. Tampa Bay’s bullpen remains a strength, and the lineup is fueled by Aranda’s return from injury. Yandy Díaz may sit after protecting his .300 average.

Blue Jays: Toronto’s lineup is locked in, averaging 5.2 runs per game over its three-game win streak. Gausman is 8-9 with a 3.91 ERA lifetime vs Tampa Bay and 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA against them this season. Toronto’s balance of contact and power is why they lead MLB in batting average.

Compare these clubs across categories on the MLB teams page.

Injuries and Conditions

• Rays: Díaz (rest) may sit. Aranda back and homering.
• Blue Jays: Healthy, rotation lined up for October.

Weather: Dome in Toronto. No weather factor.

Best Bets and Prediction

Toronto is playing to clinch, with the bats clicking and Gausman on the mound. Tampa Bay’s speed and Seymour’s arm make them live underdogs, but the edge lies with the Jays.

Projected score: Blue Jays 5, Rays 3
Best Bet: Blue Jays moneyline -203
Lean: Over 7.5 runs (-117) — Jays’ offense plus Rays’ speed pressure totals upward.

See more projections in the MLB picks section and refine playoff bets with the MLB expert betting guide.