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Another huge UFC is on its way, as UFC 320 drops down in Paradise, Nevada on Saturday, October 4th, with a rematch between Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira as the main event.
I’d game to tune in simply based on the headlining fight, but there are more big names and some compelling fights on the docket. There is a lot to get excited about, but precious little time to actually break down the best UFC 320 bets and place some wagers.
Wondering which favorites to back, who can stage an upset, and what fights are better left alone? I’ll cover all of the bases as I go over the latest UFC 320 odds, dissect each matchup, and highlight my preferred UFC picks for this weekend’s action.
Where To Watch UFC 320?
You can tune into UFC 320 at several channels, as the Prelims can be viewed on ESPN+, Disney+, FX, and ESPNNews. The main card requires PPV purchase and activation, however.
When Is UFC 320?
The much-hyped UFC 320 event with a rematch between Anjalaev and Pereira fires off this Saturday, October 4th, 2025.
Where Is UFC 320?
If you want to know where UFC 320 takes place – or you’re looking to get tickets – get ready to head to Paradise, Nevada. The event will be hosted there at the T-Mobile Arena.
UFC 320 Odds
Check out the latest odds for UFC 320, per the top sports betting sites:
UFC 320 Favorite | UFC 320 Underdog | UFC 320 Prediction |
---|---|---|
Magomed Ankalaev (-250) | Alex Pereira (+200) | Magomed Ankalaev (-250) |
Merab Dvalishvili (-400) | Cory Sandhagen (+300) | Merab Dvalishvili (-400) |
Jiri Prochazka (-175) | Khalil Rountree Jr. (+145) | Jiri Prochazka (-175) |
Youseff Zalal (-500) | Josh Emmett (+350) | Josh Emmett (+350) |
Joe Pyfer (-240) | Abus Magomedov (+195) | Joe Pyfer (-240) |
The main card for UFC 320 is legendary stuff. First there is the headliner, as we get a second go of it for Magomed Ankalaev and Alex Pereira. Ankalaev is a surprisingly mild betting favorite, especially since he bested Pereira in his most recent bout.
Pereira is an absolute dog with elite finishing ability, though, so a +200 price for him to shock the world is pretty appealing. I think you’re getting nice value on both sides, but I doubt I am alone in assuming the result is similar to what we saw last time these two faced off.
The value is pretty good for the underdogs on the UFC 320 main card, as Cory Sandhage and Josh Emmett specifically are two very good fighters coming in at +300 price tags. I doubt either of them actually win, but they’re live for the upset and will be tough to ignore.
The tightest match for the main card has Jiri Prochazka and Khalil Rountree Jr. facing off in a bout that is legitimately tough to call. The second tightest bout has the explosive Joe Pyfer looking likely to fend off Abus Magomedov.
I have my UFC 320 picks for the main card ready to go, but I also will dive into every single bout and explain why I like the bet I am suggesting. Want more advice before finalizing your UFC wagers this week? Just take a look at what the best handicappers have to offer.
UFC 320 Predictions For The Main Card
The main card for UFC 320 begins at 10:00 pm EST on PPV.
Magomed Ankalaev (-250) vs. Alex Pereira (+200)
We get a fun rematch in the UFC 320 main card, but it’s worth wondering if the 38-year old Alex Pereira (12-3) can muster up a different result than the last time these two faced off.
It was all Magomed Ankalaev (20-1), as his superior all-around game gave Pereira fits and kept him at bay. This was a tad surprising, seeing as Pereira in theory holds the striking edge, and also has a sizable four-inch reach advantage.
Despite this fact, Ankalaev controlled the fight and very well may do the same this Saturday. There is always the chance that the old Pereira shows up and he earns his 11th career KO win, but Ankalaev obviously knows what to expect at this point. He’s also five years younger and has such a well-rounded skill-set that a knockout loss seems unlikely.
Ankalaev’s dominance in the UFC probably isn’t ending at UFC 320. The 33-year old has not lost in 12 consecutive fights, and he has more title fights in his future. I expect him to put an end to the Alex Pereira hype for good and carve out a clear spot for himself as a growing MMA legend.
Bet: Magomed Ankalaev (-250)
Merab Dvalishvili (-400) vs. Cory Sandhagen (+300)
Another fighter who is insanely hot right now is Merab Dvalishvili (20-4), who has rattled off 13 wins in a row. He is incredibly difficult to finish, and while his fighting style is not for everyone, it’s simply one that gives him a huge upper hand – especially against dangerous strikers.
He’s shown that quite often, as he’s now twice beaten Sean O’Malley and has taken out big names like Jose Aldo, Petyr Yan, and more. His run doesn’t figure to end anytime soon, as his elite wrestling and defense keep him in play no matter who his opponent is.
That isn’t to say the scrappy Cory Sandhagen has no chance. He’s a gifted striker (8 KOs) and he is in good form (4-1 over his last five fights), but he simply doesn’t have a leverage point in this matchup. Merab has better wrestling, he has better defense, there’s no distinct reach advantage, and Dvalishvili is going to be able to either match or at least handle Sandhagen’s striking.
Merab will not get outworked here, so Sandhagen literally needs a shocking finish to get the win, and I simply don’t see it happening.
Bet: Merab Dvalishvili (-400)
Jiri Prochazka (-175) vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. (+145)
I hate to be the guy that only takes the top betting favorites, but I haven’t seen an underdog I liked yet and it isn’t happening here, either. Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) is as battle tested as they come, as he has a mind-boggling 27 knockouts to his name and is a respectable 5-2 under the UFC promotion.
To be fair, that is not an elite record by any means, and a massive chunk of his KOs have come outside of the UFC. Still, his only two UFC defeats were KO losses to the great Alex Pereira, and he’s otherwise been super sharp in every other match.
Prochazka looked fantastic last time out with a TKO win over Jamahal Hill, and that is one key reason he’ll enter UFC 320 as a light favorite. In addition, his striking upside is immense, he is three years younger than his opponent, and he will also own a 4.5-inch reach edge.
None of this is to say Khalil Rountree Jr. (15-6) is trash or anything. He’s a perfectly capable fighter with knockout ability of his own (9 KOs). Oddly enough, he could only muster a Decision win against Hill, and his last KO loss also came against Pereira.
Rountree is not an easy opponent, but he’s more one-dimensional than Jiri and the striking edge resides with Prochazka. If this one comes down to striking – and even if it doesn’t – I think Jiri is the obvious favorite.
Bet: Jiri Prochazka (-175)
Youseff Zalal (-500) vs. Josh Emmett (+350)
My first and only UFC 320 upset pick for the main card finally arrives. I know it’s risky and he is ancient, but the 40-year old Josh Emmett feels like a really fun bet at his +350 moneyline.
I will gladly point out that Youseff is the superior submission artist and to this point has displayed strong enough defense to avoid a loss by stoppage of any kind. He’s also not really gone up against a ton of high-level fighters.
Zalal is a versatile, well-rounded fighter and he is 11 years younger than his opponent. But the experience edge does go to Emmett, who may be old, but doesn’t lose much in reach here (two inches), and has the KO power to end this thing in a hurry.
The finish line is nearing for Emmett, and we know he can still deliver some pop (KO’d Bryce Mitchell), while he’s hung in there recently in some tough Decision losses to Lerone Murphy and Ilia Topuria.
The matchup isn’t exactly favorable, but Emmett has a puncher’s chance and Zalal is stepping up to face a different caliber of fighter in this one. I’m game for throwing caution to the wind and betting on Emmett having one last big KO win in him.
Bet: Josh Emmett (+350)
Joe Pyfer (-240) vs. Abus Magomedov (+195)
Lastly, we come to another dangerous striker in Joe Pyfer, who has totaled nine knockout wins. He’s a stellar 14-3 through 17 fights, while he’s a solid 5-1 in the UFC, with his lone loss coming to Jack Hermansson.
The issue with Pyfer is undeniably his gas tank and the fact that if he doesn’t finish his opponent early, he may not hold the edge for long. His opponent has been finished four times in his career, however, while Pyger is going to hold the advantage in age (six years younger), striking impact, and UFC success.
Abus Magomedov is no slouch. He has 14 KOs under his belt and 21 total wins by stoppage, but it’s certainly worth noting that none of those knockouts have come in the UFC. I think his floor game and reach advantage put him in play as a fun +195 dog, but I ultimately believe the striking edge lies with Pyfer and a KO is on its way.
Bet: Joe Pyfer (-240)
UFC 320 Preliminary Card Odds
Check out the latest UFC 320 odds for the Preliminary Card.
UFC 320 Favorite | UFC 320 Underdog | UFC 320 Prediction |
---|---|---|
Ateba Gautier (-1200) | Treston Vines (N/A) | Ateba Gautier (-1200) |
Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) | Andre Muniz (+240) | Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) |
Farid Basharat (-425) | Chris Gutierrez (+310) | Farid Basharat (-425) |
Daniel Santos (-140) | JooSang Yoo (+120) | JooSang Yoo (+120) |
Macy Chiasson (-180) | Yana Santos (+150) | Macy Chiasson (-180) |
Patchy Mix (-265) | Jakub Wikłacz (+215) | Patchy Mix (-265) |
Punahele Soriano (-250) | Nikolay Veretennikov (+200) | Punahele Soriano (-250) |
Austin Vanderford (-280) | Ramiz Brahimaj (+230) | Austin Vanderford (-280) |
Veronica Hardy (-700) | Brogan Walker (+450) | Veronica Hardy (-700) |
While the main card is insane, the Prelims and Early Prelims also have a ton to offer. Ateba Gautier comes in as the biggest favorite of the entire card, and I don’t know if there’s much use in betting against him.
We also get a pretty nice showdown between the red hot Edmen Shahbazyan and Andre Muniz, while Patchy Mix and Farid Basharat are also featured fighters everyone will want to check out. They are both favored and are pretty good bets to get the job done against their respective opponents, too.
Gautier is not the only massive favorite, as Veronica Hardy wraps things up at her -700 moneyline. Her record is not impressive in the least, but you can say the same about her opponent. You can roll with my UFC 320 picks for this section of the card, or read on for further analysis.
UFC 320 Predictions For The Preliminary Card
The UFC 320 kicks off with the Prelims at 6:00 pm EST on ESPN+, Disney+, and FX.
Ateba Gautier (-1200) vs. Treston Vines (N/A)
Leaving this one open for now, as Ozzy Diaz was originally scheduled for this one, but he bowed out of the match. Gautier is 2-0 with two KOs in the UFC and looks like a stud. He was a massive -1200 betting favorite for this match, and while the odds are not out for his new match, I expect them to be about as lopsided.
Gautier is a monster. The 23-year old is 8-1 through nine professional MMA fights, registering a staggering 6.93 significant strikes per minute. He’s an efficient and punishing striker with massive KO ability (7 KOs in 8 wins) and he’s never been finished. He also hasn’t lost in forever, as his lone defeat was a Decision loss to Glenn Williams three years ago.
Ateba has come a long way since then, as he’s literally knocked out every single opponent following that loss. He’s been as good as advertised in the UFC, too.
He’ll get Treston Vines, who deserves the badge of courage for stepping in for this assignment. Vines does have some upside and he’ll offer appealing odds, but he’s been KO’d three times in 13 career fights.
Vines has not wowed anyone and this will be his UFC debut. He has the opportunity to shock the world and earn people a lot of money, but he feels like an otherwise poor bet. Consider this a baptism by fire.
Bet: Ateba Gautier (-1200)
Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) vs. Andre Muniz (+240)
Next up is Edmen Shahbazyan (15-5), who had a little rough patch for a second there, but has rebounded beautifully with two straight victories. One of those was a KO win over Dylan Budka, while he won a nice Decision against Andre Petroski.
This is a step back up in competition for The Golden Boy, and it’s worth noting that he struggled to a 1-4 stretch where he succumbed to three KO losses. While troubling, the 27-year old still offers plenty of upside and seems to have righted the ship.
Edmen has his warts, but he also possesses nice finishing ability (12 knockouts) and is an all or nothing fighter, with just three of his 20 fights allowed to go the distance. That can obviously get him into a lot of trouble, but he is eight years younger than his opponent and grades out as the superior striker.
The big thing Andre Muniz (24-7) has going for him is his floor game. He is much better at taking the fight to the mat, and judging by his 15 submission wins, that’s precisely where he’ll try to go in this bout. After all, he doesn’t really want to stand and throw, as his 6 knockout losses tell us that will go poorly.
Muniz is rather long in the tooth, while Edmen’s defense has been tough on submission artists. He’s only tapped out once in his entire career, and with two submissions under his belt, he does have the ability to flip the script. And if this one is settled with the fists, Edmen is the clear aggressor.
I do think Muniz is a compelling underdog if the fight gets to the ground, but I like the positive momentum Edmen has going. I think he can stave off Muniz’s takedowns and get the KO here.
Bet: Edmen Shahbazyan (-300)
Farid Basharat (-425) vs. Chris Gutierrez (+310)
It’s hard not to like a lot of the UFC 320 favorites, and that doesn’t stop with someone as talented as Farid Basharat. Basharat (13-0) has yet to lose a professional MMA fight, so naturally the sportsbooks don’t believe Chris Gutierrez will be the first person to end his streak.
Basharat has quite a bit going for him here, as he is six years younger than his opponent, has a four-inch reach advantage, can rival his striking, and has way better takedown offense. His lone flaw is a lack of jaw-dropping finishing ability, as he has just one knockout to his name and only six submissions in 13 wins.
His floor game is obviously his meal ticket, but he’s 4-0 inside the UFC even with just one tap out on his ledger at this level. This is probably bad news for Chris Gutierrez, who does have more experience to fall back on, but will be absolutely lost by comparison if this fight goes to the ground.
Gutierrez has some KO ability (9 knockouts) and has only been submitted once, but Basharat is easily the more well-rounded fighter with dominant ability on the mat. You can always roll the dice with Gutierrez if you think he can drop Basharat, but I think a submission by Farid is the much better bet.
Bet: Farid Basharat (-425)
Daniel Santos (-140) vs. JooSang Yoo (+120)
Daniel Santos (13-2) enters UFC 320 as a light favorite, but he’s one fighter I have zero qualms going against. I do think he’s a solid and versatile fighter, and it’s worth noting that he is 3-1 in the UFC, with his only loss being his debut against a solid opponent in Julio Arce.
Unfortunately, Santos allows a lot of his fights to escape him, while he is the inferior striker in this matchup. He also loses four inches to his opponent, the undefeated JooSang Yoo (9-0).
Yoo doesn’t have as much experience as Santos, nor the perceived versatility, but he put his punch power on full display in his debut, when he rocked Jeka Saragih in June. It’s anyone’s guess if he can replicate that, as his sample size against top shelf competition is non-existent, but I don’t mind buying into the hype at +120.
Bet: JooSang Yoo (+120)
Macy Chiasson (-180) vs. Yana Santos (+150)
Another tightly priced UFC 320 fight has Macy Chiasson (11-4) as the tentative favorite to best Yana Santos (16-8). Santos has more bouts to her name, but she’s eaten a lot of losses and will lose four inches in reach in this matchup.
Santos was pretty nasty outside of the UFC, but ever since she came to the promotion she’s been more of a mixed bag, going just 6-5 over her last 11 bouts. She does have some solid wins against big names like Miesha Tate and Ketlen Vieira, while she also went the distance with Holly Holm and Karol Rosa.
This all makes Santos a tougher than expected opponent for Chiasson, but she’s still a one-dimensional fighter who has been fished five times in her career. That type of downside is tough to trust, especially when Chiasson brings solid striking to the table and is also more assertive with her takedowns.
Chiasson looks like a solid bet to control this one and inflict enough damage to get the win, whether she finds a way to stop Santos or not.
Bet: Macy Chiasson (-180)
Patchy Mix (-265) vs. Jakub Wiklacz (+215)
One of the more underrated fighters on the UFC 320 card is Patchy Mix (20-2) who comes in with a blistering record and the ability to unleash significant damage with his fists.
Mix is a submission guru, as he has racked up an insane 13 submissions throughout his career. The 32-year old dropped a Decision against Mario Bautista in his UFC debut this summer, but he looks poised to bounce back in a big way against Jakub Wiklacz
Wiklacz has a solid record and excels on the mat like Mix does, but that’s going to give him major problems. Mix has a superior floor game, so when this fight inevitably works its way to the canvas, I fully expect him to put the clamps down and force Jakub to tap out.
Bet: Patchy Mix (-265)
Punahele Soriano (-250) vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (+200)
Another interesting fight has Punahele Soriano (11-4) as a decent favorite to best Nikolay Veretennikov (13-6). These are two middling fighters looking to prove their worth, but Soriano is three years younger and grades out as the more complete fighter.
Even if we’re just looking at the striking, Soriano is punishing his opponents more and offers nice finishing ability (7 KOs). He has definitely been vulnerable at times and more specifically inconsistent, but he seems to be headed on the right path after knocking out Uros Medic in his last fight.
On the other side is Veretennikov, who has more knockouts to his name, but hasn’t been as impressive inside the UFC so far. With both fighters offering some KO power, but not being very consistent, I will trust in the better wrestler who also packs a serious punch.
Bet: Punahele Soriano (-250)
Austin Vanderford (-280) vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (+230)
We get a similar favorite in Austin Vanderford (13-2), who brings a nice record to the table when he prepares to battle Ramiz Brahimaj (12-5). Vanderford is getting a bit old at 35, but he inflicts a ton of damage on his opponents and will own a two-inch reach advantage in this one.
Vanderford impressed in his UFC debut in February, when he knocked out Nikolay Veretennikov. The sample size at a high level is small, but it’s worth noting his only two losses were knockouts against massive names in Aaron Jeffery and Gegard Mousasi.
Those losses would be slightly troubling if Vanderford was facing an elite striker or punishing wrestler, but Ramiz Brahimaj is much more likely to try to get a submission. He is certainly a threat to do just that, as he’s got 11 to his name and all 12 of his wins have ended early.
That said, Vanderford has been immune to strong floor games in the past. Provided his striking is on point, he’s a solid bet to keep Ramiz at bay – if not knock him out.
Bet: Austin Vanderford (-280)
Veronica Hardy (-700) vs. Brogan Walker (+450)
Lastly, we have a fight that should be easy to call. I will admit that it’s a little tough to trust someone like Veronica Hardy, as she has a middling 9-5-1 record and is walking into a matchup where she loses three inches in reach to her opponent.
On top of that, Hardy is not an adept finisher (just three in nine wins) and she isn’t known for vicious knockouts. On the flip side, she’s been finished twice in five losses and she dropped a Decision against Eduarda Moura in her last fight in November of 2024.
The long layoff adds another layer to this one, but Hardy is the way younger fighter in this match (by eight years) and she had been finding her footing with three straight wins before her most recent loss.
Brogan Walker (8-4) doesn’t have a much better record. She also has far less experience inside the UFC and so far is 0-2 in the promotion, with one of her defeats coming via TKO to Julianna Miller. That isn’t a bad loss, but the 36-year old is aging out of the sport rapidly, as she’s just 1-4 over her last five bouts.
Walker doesn’t really have a calling card to turn to, either. She has one submission and no other wins by stoppage. Her toughness is well documented, but she feels overmatched in this one. The bad thing is you’re not clicking Hardy at -700, but betting on a win inside the distance on either side feels bad.
Ultimately, I don’t see a bet I am in love with for this fight, but I do like Hardy to get the win.
Bet: Veronica Hardy (-700)
The Best UFC 320 Picks
The following is our best UFC 320 picks for this weekend’s event:
- Merab Dvalishvili (-400)
- Jiri Prochazka (-175)
- Edmen Shahbazyan (-300)
I know you’re not getting crazy value with Merab Dvalishvili at -400, but he feels like the safest UFC 320 bet anyone can make. Cory Sandhagen is not an easy opponent, but Merab keeps running into potential buzzsaws and figuring out how to stave them off.
Merab is probably going to have a few more title fights to look forward to. His fights are rarely sexy or super exciting, but he knows how to limit damage, he understands angles and control, and he executes pacing as well as anyone. Sandhagen could always land a monstrous punch, but the most likely thing on this entire card is Merab finding a way to grind out a Decision win.
If you’re seeking a little more UFC 320 betting upside, look no further than Jiri Prochazka. I know his numbers have dipped a bit inside the UFC, but the man has 27 knockouts to his name and has certainly still been a force against stiffer competition.
I don’t take someone like Khalil Rountree Jr. lightly, but Jiri has insane upside and has finished some very good fighters in his day. A KO win is not guaranteed here, but I think it’s more than doable and just backing him on the ML still gets you a nice -175 price.
Edmen Shahbazyan is the last bet for me, as his moneyline isn’t super alluring at -300, but he feels like a fantastic bet to get the job done against Andre Muniz. He is starting to heat up and he has the striking edge in this matchup.
If you want 1-2 other bets I am very high on, go a bit harder at Patchy Mix (-265) and Joe Pyfer (-240). The pricing isn’t absurd for these two picks, but these guys are going to be the aggressors and should control their fights. Submission and knockout wins are very much in play, too.
UFC 320 Card
Check out the updated UFC 320 fight card:
UFC 320 Favorite | UFC 320 Underdog | UFC 320 Prediction |
---|---|---|
Magomed Ankalaev (-250) | Alex Pereira (+200) | Magomed Ankalaev (-250) |
Merab Dvalishvili (-400) | Cory Sandhagen (+300) | Merab Dvalishvili (-400) |
Jiri Prochazka (-175) | Khalil Rountree Jr. (+145) | Jiri Prochazka (-175) |
Youseff Zalal (-500) | Josh Emmett (+350) | Josh Emmett (+350) |
Joe Pyfer (-240) | Abus Magomedov (+195) | Joe Pyfer (-240) |
Ateba Gautier (-1200) | TBD | Ateba Gautier (-1200) |
Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) | Andre Muniz (+240) | Edmen Shahbazyan (-300) |
Farid Basharat (-425) | Chris Gutierrez (+310) | Farid Basharat (-425) |
Daniel Santos (-140) | JooSang Yoo (+120) | JooSang Yoo (+120) |
Macy Chiasson (-180) | Yana Santos (+150) | Macy Chiasson (-180) |
Patchy Mix (-265) | Jakub Wikłacz (+215) | Patchy Mix (-265) |
Punahele Soriano (-250) | Nikolay Veretennikov (+200) | Punahele Soriano (-250) |
Austin Vanderford (-280) | Ramiz Brahimaj (+230) | Austin Vanderford (-280) |
Veronica Hardy (-700) | Brogan Walker (+450) | Veronica Hardy (-700) |