Kansas State Wildcats vs Tcu Horned Frogs Picks and Predictions October 11th 2025

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs October 11th 2025

In Week 7 of the 2025 college football season, the TCU Horned Frogs will visit the Kansas State Wildcats. The game will take place at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas. Fans can catch the action on FOX at 3:30 PM on Saturday, October 11.

TCU comes into this game with a 4-1 record, including a 1-1 mark on the road. Kansas State holds a 2-4 record, with both wins coming at home. Both teams are part of the Big 12 Conference, adding extra significance to this matchup.

TCU vs Kansas State CFB Key Information

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats
• Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS
• Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
• Betting Odds: TCU Moneyline -118, Kansas State Moneyline -102, TCU Spread -1.5 (-108), Kansas State Spread +1.5 (-113), Total Over 56.5 (-108), Total Under 56.5 (-113)

TCU vs Kansas State – Week 7 Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs travel to face the Kansas State Wildcats in a Big 12 clash between two teams looking to climb back into conference contention.

TCU (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) comes off a 35-21 win over Colorado, while Kansas State (2-4, 1-2 Big 12) suffered a heartbreaking 35-34 loss at Baylor. Both squads have flashed explosive offenses but need defensive improvements to sustain success.

The Horned Frogs lead the Big 12 in passing efficiency and turnovers forced, while the Wildcats have been efficient on third downs and boast one of the league’s most mobile quarterbacks in Avery Johnson.

TCU can win if

Quarterback Josh Hoover stays hot and limits mistakes. Hoover has passed for 1,517 yards and 15 touchdowns, ranking among the Big 12 leaders, but he’s also tied for the conference lead in interceptions. His decision-making will determine how well TCU’s offense moves against Kansas State’s secondary.

Wideouts Eric McAlister and Jordan Dwyer remain reliable targets, combining for over 700 receiving yards. The Horned Frogs rank 20th nationally in passing yards and fifth in fumbles recovered, showing their knack for flipping momentum.

If Hoover protects the ball and the defense continues to generate takeaways — 14 sacks and seven interceptions on the year — TCU’s speed advantage and depth can carry them to a crucial road win.

Kansas State can win if

Avery Johnson controls tempo and avoids turnovers. The Wildcats have struggled to finish drives but continue to move the ball effectively, ranking 36th nationally in first downs. Johnson passed for 339 yards in last week’s loss to Baylor and remains a dual-threat with 209 rushing yards on the season.

Dylan Edwards adds balance to the backfield, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Even while managing an ankle injury, his explosiveness keeps defenses honest. Kansas State’s offensive line has also provided protection, allowing fewer than 10 sacks through six games.

If Johnson can establish the run early and keep TCU’s offense off the field, Kansas State can control possession and grind out a home victory.

Line Movement and Odds

Opening: TCU -1 / Kansas State +1
Current: TCU -1.5 / Kansas State +1.5
Total: 56.5 points (Over -110 / Under -110)

The Horned Frogs opened as slight road favorites, with market confidence leaning toward their passing edge. Review all updated odds and totals on the college football odds page.

Matchup Breakdown

TCU ranks third in the Big 12 in passing offense, averaging over 310 yards per game, but sits near the bottom of the league in pass defense (249.2 yards allowed per game). That makes containing Kansas State’s balanced offense critical.

Kansas State ranks 13th in total offense but remains efficient at extending drives. The Wildcats have also been consistent at home, winning five of their last six conference games in Manhattan.

Both teams will likely test each other vertically early, but the difference could come down to turnovers — an area where TCU holds the advantage.

Review team stats and season metrics on the college football teams page, and explore more betting analysis in the college football betting guide. Bettors can also reference strategy fundamentals in the Bettors Handbook.

Injuries and Conditions

TCU Horned Frogs

• RB Trey Sanders (ankle) – questionable
• WR John Paul Richardson (hamstring) – out

Kansas State Wildcats

• RB Dylan Edwards (ankle) – questionable
• OL Christian Duffie (shoulder) – probable

Conditions at Bill Snyder Family Stadium are expected to be clear, around 63°F at kickoff, with light wind.

Best Bets and Prediction

TCU’s offensive rhythm and turnover margin give them a slight edge. Kansas State will push back with ball control and mobility at quarterback, but the Horned Frogs’ aerial attack should prove decisive late.

Prediction: TCU 31, Kansas State 28
Best Bet: TCU -1.5 (-110)
Secondary Lean: Over 56.5 points (-110)

Compare expert picks and public betting splits on the handicappers leaderboard before placing your wagers.

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