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Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins will visit the Cleveland Browns in Week 7 of the 2025 NFL season. The game will take place at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio, on Sunday, October 19, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET, airing live on CBS.
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Both teams enter at 1-5, desperate for a rebound. The Dolphins, led by head coach Mike McDaniel, are still seeking their first road win (0-3), while the Browns and Kevin Stefanski have dropped three straight, scoring just 13.7 points per game.
Stay updated on NFL lines, odds, and live movement via the NFL scores and odds page..
Line Movement and Odds
Opening odds list Cleveland as a 3-point home favorite (-158 moneyline), while Miami comes in at +133. The total sits at 40.5 points. Early money has trended toward Miami, given their offensive upside and Cleveland’s ongoing struggles to move the ball.
You can track updates, injury adjustments, and betting splits on the NFL expert betting guide.
Matchup Breakdown
After an emotional week, Tua Tagovailoa will aim to turn the page. Following his public apology for criticizing teammates’ commitment, the Dolphins quarterback is refocusing on leadership and execution. Despite inconsistency, Tagovailoa has thrown 11 touchdowns this season, ranking among the league’s top five.
Running back De’Von Achane continues to emerge as a bright spot, posting 150 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns in last week’s loss to the Chargers. Tight end Darren Waller, who came out of retirement this season, has quickly become a red-zone threat with four touchdown receptions.
The Dolphins rank 15th in passing yards and continue to rely on their speed at the skill positions. However, turnovers — three interceptions last week — remain a concern.
For the Browns, the offensive woes are piling up. Dillon Gabriel has been under constant pressure, sacked six times against the Steelers, while rookie back Quinshon Judkins was held to just 36 yards on 12 carries. Cleveland ranks 32nd in scoring, averaging a mere 13.7 points per game.
Still, their defensive front anchored by Myles Garrett remains dangerous. Cleveland is capable of generating heavy pressure, and if they can force Tagovailoa into rushed decisions, they could control the tempo.
For broader matchup projections and divisional comparisons, visit the NFL picks and predictions page.
Injuries and Depth
Miami Dolphins
Tyreek Hill (Knee) Out
Artie Burns (Knee) Out
Alexander Mattison (Neck) Out
Jason Sanders (Hip) Out
Elijah Campbell (Quadricep) Questionable
Tyrel Dodson (Concussion) Questionable
Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson (Ankle) Out
David Njoku (Knee) Questionable
Jack Conklin (Concussion) Questionable
Myles Garrett (Elbow) Limited
Cam Robinson (Knee) Questionable
Martin Emerson Jr. (Achilles) Out
Miami’s receiving corps takes a hit with Hill sidelined, increasing pressure on Jaylen Waddle and Waller to generate chunk plays. For Cleveland, Watson’s continued absence leaves rookie Gabriel leading an offense that hasn’t scored more than 20 points in three weeks.
Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins
– 5-0 O/U in their last five games
– 3-0 ATS after a loss
– 4-1 O/U as underdogs (2024–2025)
Cleveland Browns
– 2-1 ATS in last three home games
– 6-8 O/U in their last 14 regular-season games
– 0-3 SU in their last three games
Find all current ATS records and performance stats on the NFL team stats page.
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Best Bets and Prediction
The Browns’ offensive inconsistency and lack of explosive plays make it difficult to trust them against even a shaky Miami defense. The Dolphins’ offensive ceiling — led by Achane and Waddle — should be enough to keep them within striking distance or even pull off an upset.
Projected Score: Dolphins 23, Browns 21
Best Bet: Dolphins +3 (-114)
Lean: Over 40.5 (-108)
Miami’s offensive tempo and Cleveland’s poor tackling metrics suggest a slightly higher total than the line projects.
Check the ScoresAndStats handicappers leaderboard for expert picks and see which cappers are backing the Dolphins this week.
