Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz Picks and Predictions October 24th 2025

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Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings

The Utah Jazz and Sacramento Kings meet Friday night at the Golden 1 Center in what could be one of the early-season tone-setters in the Western Conference.
Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET, with the game airing nationally on ESPN.

Utah is coming off one of the most surprising wins of opening night — a 129-108 dismantling of the Los Angeles Clippers — while Sacramento is still processing how it blew a 20-point lead in a 120-116 loss to the Phoenix Suns.

Both teams enter at opposite emotional ends of the spectrum, and that dynamic will define this matchup.

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Line Movement and Odds

Sacramento opened as a 6.5-point favorite, but early sharp money has trickled toward Utah after its dominant showing on Wednesday.

Current Odds:

  • Kings Moneyline: -231
  • Jazz Moneyline: +189
  • Spread: Kings -6.5 (-108) / Jazz +6.5 (-114)
  • Total: Over/Under 231.5 (-110)

For updated lines, visit the NBA scores and odds page.

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The Jazz Can Win If…

The Utah Jazz looked nothing like the team that finished last season with the NBA’s worst record. In their season opener, they outworked, outshot, and outpassed the Clippers, posting a stunning 38 assists on 48 made field goals — a figure that would make even top-tier teams envious.

Walker Kessler led the way with 22 points on perfect shooting and nine rebounds, while Lauri Markkanen added 20 and six. Utah’s bench was equally productive, with six players scoring in double figures.

The Jazz’s team-oriented approach under Will Hardy appears to be paying off early. They currently rank:

  • 6th in points per game (129.0)
  • 3rd in three-pointers made and attempted
  • 1st in effective field goal percentage (64.4%)
  • 2nd in defensive points allowed (108.0)

Rookie Ace Bailey, the No. 5 overall pick, played just 20 minutes but flashed versatility and energy that fit Hardy’s system.

If Utah keeps sharing the ball and controlling tempo, they can punish a shorthanded Kings squad that is still finding chemistry.

To explore Utah’s advanced efficiency metrics, check the NBA teams section.

The Kings Can Win If…

The Sacramento Kings will lean on experience and home-court energy to steady themselves after letting one slip away in Phoenix. Despite losing, the Kings’ offense was humming early, shooting 50% from the field and dropping 70 two-point attempts, the third-most in the NBA through one game.

DeMar DeRozan (31 points) and Zach LaVine (28 points) carried the scoring load, proving Sacramento has the firepower to compete even without Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) and Keegan Murray (thumb) — both of whom are sidelined for this one.

New addition Dennis Schroder added 14 points and seven assists, while Drew Eubanks provided solid interior defense. But the team’s collapse after building a 20-point lead highlighted an ongoing issue: closing games under pressure.

Defensively, the Kings do have a strength — they limited Phoenix to 29.4% from three. That perimeter defense will be tested against a Jazz team that launched 41 threes in its opener.

Coach Doug Christie emphasized the importance of home court before the season:

“We want fans to know when they come into this gym, they’re going to see something that makes them proud.”

If Sacramento can slow Utah’s passing rhythm and protect the defensive glass, they can bounce back in their home opener.

  • Utah Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
  • Sacramento Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last five as home favorites.
  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head matchups.
  • Utah has covered four of the last five vs. Sacramento.
  • Sacramento has hit the Over in five straight home openers.

For more line history and matchup data, check the NBA expert betting guide.

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Prediction and Analysis

Utah’s ball movement and energy look legitimate, not fluky. Sacramento’s injuries and lack of interior presence are major concerns, especially against a Jazz frontcourt anchored by Kessler and Markkanen.

The Kings’ backcourt can keep it close early, but Utah’s depth and cohesion should tilt this game late. Expect another efficient night from the Jazz offense, with both teams pushing the total higher than expected.

Projected Score: Jazz 125, Kings 115
Best Bet: Jazz +6.5 (-114)
Total Lean: Over 231.5 (-110)

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