Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks and Predictions November 10th 2025

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Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns return home riding a 4-1 stretch and looking to build momentum despite losing Jalen Green to a hamstring injury. They’ll host the New Orleans Pelicans, who have dropped seven of their first nine games but saw a breakout performance from Trey Murphy III in Saturday’s loss to San Antonio.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Suns Spread: -8.0 (-113)
  • Pelicans Spread: +8.0 (-108)
  • Total: 228.5 (-110)

Phoenix opened as a strong favorite at home, where they’re 4-1 this season. The total sits at 228.5, reflecting both teams’ scoring potential and defensive gaps. See full NBA odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Phoenix Suns Outlook

Devin Booker continues to lead the way, nearly posting a triple-double (21-10-9) in Saturday’s win over the Clippers. With Jalen Green sidelined again, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie will see increased backcourt minutes. The Suns rank 3rd in made threes per game (16.2) and 12th in effective FG% (55.2). Their defense limits second-chance points, allowing just 42.6 rebounds per game. Phoenix has won four of five and appears to be finding its rhythm despite early-season injuries.

New Orleans Pelicans Outlook

Trey Murphy III exploded for 41 points on 68% shooting against the Spurs, keeping the Pelicans competitive despite missing Zion Williamson, Jordan Poole, and Yves Missi. New Orleans leads the league in blocks and ranks 7th in opponent 3PT%, allowing just 34.4%. Rookie Derik Queen and Saddiq Bey have stepped up in recent games, but the team’s 2-7 record reflects its lack of continuity and depth amid injuries.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Phoenix will look to exploit New Orleans’ depleted frontcourt by spacing the floor and attacking in transition. If Booker controls tempo and Allen continues to shoot well, the Suns should dictate the pace. The Pelicans need another big night from Murphy and must protect the rim while limiting Phoenix’s perimeter looks to stay within striking distance.

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Injuries / Availability

Phoenix will be without Jalen Green (hamstring), who is expected to miss extended time. Dillon Brooks (core) is back in the lineup. For full updates, check the Suns injury report.

New Orleans remains without Zion Williamson (hamstring), Jordan Poole (quad), and Yves Missi (illness). All three are expected to miss at least another week. See the Pelicans injury report for latest status.

Environment

The game tips off at the Mortgage Matchup Center, where the Suns are 4-1 this season. The Pelicans are 1-4 on the road and have struggled to close games late. Expect Phoenix to push pace early and test New Orleans’ depth and defensive rotations.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Suns 118, Pelicans 111

  • Best Bet: Pelicans +8.0
    New Orleans’ rim protection and Murphy’s scoring give them a chance to keep it close.
  • Total: Over 228.5
    Both teams can score in bunches, and Phoenix’s three-point volume supports a higher total.

Phoenix has the edge at home, but the Pelicans’ interior defense and Murphy’s hot hand make them a live underdog. The over is in play given both teams’ recent scoring trends and injury-driven defensive lapses.

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