New England Patriots vs New York Jets Picks and Predictions November 13th 2025

Match Facts

New England rides a seven-game win streak into Foxborough and sits 8–2 after handling Tampa Bay 28–23. The Jets arrive at 2–7 but have won two straight on the back of defense, returns, and Breece Hall’s explosives. Kickoff is 8:15 PM at Gillette Stadium on AMZN. For pricing and prep, compare expert viewpoints on the NFL picks hub, scan depth charts via the NFL teams index, confirm numbers on the live NFL odds board, and review concepts in the NFL betting guide.

Item	Details
Venue	Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Date and time	Thursday, November 13, 2025, 8:15 PM
Broadcast	AMZN
Form snapshot	Patriots W7; Jets W2
Recent note	NE OL allowed 1 sack last game after 16 across prior three

Team	Record	Home/Away	Last game
Patriots	8–2	3–1 home	Won 28–23 at TB
Jets	2–7	1–3 away	Won 27–20 vs CLE

Line and Odds

Market shows Patriots -13.0 (-109), Jets +13.0 (-110), moneylines around New England -878 and New York +590, with a total of 43.0 (flat -110 both ways). The favorite premium prices New England’s defensive front, improved pass protection for Drake Maye, and a sizable special-teams edge given Green Bay-style kicking uncertainty does not apply here. Counter-money for the dog leans on recent Jets ATS form, splash-play defense, and Breece Hall’s ability to shorten third downs. If limits invite sharp entries, spreads at -13.5 often attract buyback on the Jets due to back-door risk; any steam toward -12.5 usually signals confidence in New England’s red-zone finishing. Totals traders toggle around explosive-rate projections: Jets special teams and short fields can push an over, while long Patriots drives and clock control lean under. Verify shop variance on the NFL odds board before entry.

Movement Matchup

New England’s path is script and trenches. With Vrabel’s group settling protections, the offense can marry early down gap runs with quick game for Maye, then use shot plays off max-protect when the Jets spin pressure. Defensively, the Patriots’ top-ranked run front aims to force Justin Fields into must-throw downs and keep a spy leveraged to cap scrambles. New York’s route is volatility: win hidden yards on returns, manufacture explosives through Hall on perimeter runs and screens, and create short fields via sacks and strips. If the Jets hold up in protection just enough to access play-action crossers, they can threaten the number even if straight-up win equity remains modest.

Injury Reports

Patriots

Player	Status	Detail	Impact
TreVeyon Henderson, RB	Probable	Knee managed; full practice	Primary early-down back and chunk runs
Rhamondre Stevenson, RB	Questionable	Toe; missed last two	Power packages and screen game if active
Terrell Jennings, RB	Questionable	Knee	RB depth; ST snaps
Kayshon Boutte, WR	Questionable	Hamstring	Rotational WR; red-zone isolate packages
Christian Elliss, LB	Questionable	Hip	Second-level run fits and ST
Jack Gibbens, LB	Questionable	Hamstring	Early-down tackling and green-dot depth

Jets

Player	Status	Detail	Impact
Garrett Wilson, WR	Out	Knee sprain	WR1 target share removed; compresses spacing
Harrison Phillips, DL	DNP est.	Foot	Interior run defense and pocket push
Azareye’h Thomas, CB	DNP est.	Concussion	Perimeter depth; matchup stress vs NE 11-personnel
Will McDonald IV, EDGE	Limited	Quad	Pass-rush win rate; game-tilting strip-sack threat
Braiden McGregor, DL	Limited	Shoulder	Rotation snaps on early downs

Patriots Recent Performance

The streak stabilized when protection improved and the run game reappeared. Maye’s 270 and two scores in Tampa came with defined reads and fewer long-developing concepts. Defensively, New England leads in rush yards allowed through ten games and has tightened red-zone EPA by squeezing edges and rallying to screens. If they stay ahead of the chains and avoid negative plays, they can control tempo and field position.

Jets Recent Performance

New York has won with defense, returns, and Breece Hall’s explosives while keeping the passing menu conservative. A kick-and-punt return combo and a four-sack day from Will McDonald IV highlighted the upset of Cleveland. Without Garrett Wilson, passing efficiency depends on creating layups off motion and play-action to tight ends and backs. If they finish drives with touchdowns rather than field goals, the cover path opens even in a low total environment.

Betting Insights and Trends

New England has regained AFC East leverage with a 7–0 run and is covering big numbers when the run defense forces one-dimensional scripts. The Jets have trended over on the road due to short fields and defensive/special-teams scoring volatility, but their offense remains volume-light through the air. In wide spreads, garbage-time dynamics matter; a conservative fourth quarter from New England increases back-door probability. For broader angles and futures, scan the NFL picks hub and macro outlook in the Super Bowl odds discussion, then reconcile positions with current prices on the NFL odds board.

Best Pick

Jets +13.0.

The number bakes in New England dominance at the line and assumes limited Jets passing efficiency, but New York’s defense, returns, and Hall’s explosives create enough volatility to threaten a two-score line. If market drifts to +13.5, the edge improves. If it compresses to +12 or lower, consider a reduced stake or pair with a small Patriots moneyline in parlays only if price improves.

Projection

Patriots 28, Jets 17.

The margin comes from red-zone execution and turnover field position. New England’s scripted openers and run/PA balance produce three touchdown drives. New York generates one explosive score and one sustained drive but stalls twice in the low red and settles for three. If the Jets win the return game cleanly and grab a defensive takeaway, the outcome tightens toward a one-score cover.