Nc State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles Picks and Predictions November 21st 2025

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Florida State Seminoles @ NC State Wolfpack Preview

Two ACC programs battling for bowl eligibility collide Friday night as the Florida State Seminoles travel to Raleigh to face the NC State Wolfpack at Carter-Finley Stadium. Both teams sit at 5-5 and are running out of opportunities to lock in a postseason berth.

Florida State has yet to win a road game this season, while NC State has thrived at home. This matchup features urgency, injuries, and two defenses that have shown major inconsistency throughout November.

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Key Storylines

The Seminoles are coming off a convincing win over Virginia Tech but remain winless away from home. Coach Mike Norvell emphasized internal fixes and preparation for a tough road environment, where communication has been an issue. Carter-Finley Stadium historically presents problems for visiting teams, and Florida State will rely on its ground game to stabilize early momentum.

The Wolfpack were hammered by Miami last week and have allowed more than 35 points in four straight games. Quarterback CJ Bailey looks to rebound after his only touchdown-free outing of the season. Despite recent struggles, NC State enters with a strong home record and an offense capable of stretching the field.

Injury Report

Florida State

• Ja’Bril Rawls – Out
• Quindarrius Jones – Out
• Ethan Pritchard – Out
• Donny Hiebert – Questionable
• Caleb LaVallee – Questionable
• Deamontae Diggs – Questionable
• Ricky Knight III – Questionable
• Chase Loftin – Questionable
• Duce Robinson – Probable

NC State

• Terrente Hinton – Out
• Jaren Sensabaugh – Out
• Sean Brown – Questionable
• Isaiah Crowell – Questionable
• Daemon Fagan – Questionable
• AJ Richardson – Questionable
• Sterling Dixon – Questionable
• Rico Jackson – Questionable
• Tyler West – Questionable
• Jonathan Paylor – Questionable

Comparison Table

CategoryFlorida StateNC State
Points Per Game30.427.1
Total Yards417398
Rush Yards RankTop 10Mid-tier
Pass Yards226.7239.1
Turnovers Forced11 INT6 INT
Road/Home Record0-3 road4-1 home

Florida State Outlook

The Florida State Seminoles) dominated Virginia Tech with nearly 450 total yards, including 237 on the ground. The run game ranks top ten nationally, led by Gavin Sawchuk’s efficiency and red-zone burst. Duce Robinson anchors the passing attack and often dictates defensive matchups.

Defensively, Florida State ranks top 15 in sacks and interceptions, giving them a disruptive presence. The concern is depth in the secondary after multiple season-ending injuries, leaving freshman Shamar Arnoux in a high-pressure role.

Advanced Florida State breakdowns: matchup edges, ACC statistical tiers, and efficiency metrics.

NC State Outlook

The NC State Wolfpack enter after a lopsided loss at Miami, where the offense never found rhythm. CJ Bailey remains a top-25 national passer and must elevate early play in a crucial home setting. Hollywood Smothers brings explosive run ability that could attack Florida State’s lighter second level.

Defensively, NC State has suffered major setbacks due to injuries. The Wolfpack have allowed 35 or more points in four straight games, struggling to finish drives and limit explosives. Still, at home, this team consistently plays with more energy and communication.

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Betting Trends

• Florida State is 23-6 straight up as a favorite since 2022
• Florida State is 22-6 straight up after a win
• NC State is 23-4 straight up as a favorite since 2021
• NC State is 10-3 to the over as an underdog
• NC State is 3-0 to the over after a loss this year
• Florida State is 18-12 ATS after a win since 2021

Predictions

Florida State’s rushing advantage stands out, especially against a banged-up NC State defense. The Wolfpack should have success through the air but may struggle sustaining drives if forced into long-yardage situations.

Projected Score: Florida State 35, NC State 28

Spread Lean: Florida State -4.5
Total Lean: Over 61.5

Why You Need Expert Picks

Games like Florida State Seminoles vs NC State Wolfpack often hinge on subtle injury matchups, pace variations, and late-week line movement. Our Expert Picks and Premium College Football Guide give readers verified professional angles, matchup data, and value-spot alerts that public bettors routinely miss. When margins are tight and stakes are high, expert support provides the clearest path to long-term winning.

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