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North Carolina Tar Heels vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Betting Preview
North Carolina heads to Fort Myers at 5-0, leaving home for the first time this season. The Tar Heels handled Navy 73-61 last week, then spent the break sharpening communication and half-court execution. Hubert Davis wants to see how this group responds to new surroundings. You can monitor the latest line shifts on the NCAA basketball odds page
St. Bonaventure enters 5-0 as well and is coming off a 75-61 win against Robert Morris. The Bonnies controlled the interior with Frank Mitchell and Cayden Charles, both posting double-doubles. This is their first ranked opponent of the season and their first neutral-site test since opening weekend.
North Carolina’s efficiency starts with Caleb Wilson. He has averaged more than 20 points per game and is pulling down 10 boards per night. His energy and activity set the tone in transition and in the half court. The Tar Heels have never trailed in three of their five wins, and Davis continues to emphasize defensive consistency.
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Line Movement and Odds
The Tar Heels opened around −10.5 on a neutral floor. Total projections sit at 152.5, tied to UNC’s pace and St. Bonaventure’s mid-possession tempo. Early money leans toward UNC, but the number has remained steady. For matchup comparisons across the slate, see the college basketball previews page
Matchup Breakdown
UNC wants speed, space and pressure on the rim. They average 88 points per game and remain one of the nation’s stronger rebounding teams. Their depth remains impactful even when scoring doesn’t show up, with 11 players seeing the floor against Navy.
St. Bonaventure’s path is built on physicality and efficiency. They average 78 points per game with a clean 48 percent shooting clip. Mitchell anchors the paint, and Joe Grahovac provides perimeter spacing at better than 50 percent from deep. The Bonnies want to slow the tempo, shorten the game and avoid trading early runouts.
If you want supporting projections and public-vs-sharp comparisons, check the free NCAAB picks
Injuries and Conditions
North Carolina
No new injury updates.
Full team info: North Carolina page
St. Bonaventure
No new confirmed absences.
Full team info: St. Bonaventure page
Neutral-site indoor matchup, no weather impact.
Best Bets and Prediction
This matchup turns on tempo. UNC’s size, athleticism and rebounding edge push the line toward the Tar Heels. St. Bonaventure’s physicality should keep the game respectable, but UNC’s playmakers tilt the final possession count.
Projected Score: North Carolina 85, St. Bonaventure 77
Best Bet: St. Bonaventure +10.5
Secondary Lean: Under 152.5, tied to the Bonnies’ slower pace
For situational angles and bankroll structure, review the Bettors Handbook
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