Washington Capitals vs Winnipeg Jets Picks and Predictions November 26th 2025

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Jets vs Capitals Betting Preview

Washington’s defense is powering its offense. That has flipped their season. The Capitals have won four of five entering Wednesday’s home meeting with Winnipeg, and their blue line continues driving results in a way few teams can match.

They beat Columbus 5-1 on Monday. Four of those goals came from defensemen. Jakob Chychrun scored twice. John Carlson and Martin Fehervary added one each. Washington leads the league in goals from the back end. Their pace from the point is consistent. Their transition support remains sharp. The puck touches their defense on nearly every possession, and their activation has become a staple under Spencer Carbery.

Parity is tight in the East. Only five points separate the first wild card spot from the bottom of the conference. Logan Thompson credited team buy-in for keeping Washington above the line. Their defensive habits improved. Their lanes collapsed well. Their structure created cleaner sightlines for Thompson.

Winnipeg sits outside the top eight in the West and continues battling injuries. They dropped both home games over the weekend. They allowed four goals to Carolina. They were shut out 3-0 by Minnesota. Their inconsistency, paired with injuries throughout their core, has thinned their margin.

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Line Movement and Odds

  • Capitals -158, Jets +134
  • Total: 6.0 (over -112, under -108)

The market leaned toward Washington early due to their blue-line scoring surge and Winnipeg’s injury list.

Check updates on the NHL odds page

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Matchup Breakdown

Winnipeg overview

The Jets were blanked 3-0 by Minnesota but still fired 32 shots. They showed effort on the forecheck and physicality with 20 hits. Their record remains solid at 12-9, and their scoring metrics provide upside. They rank 12th in goals and 6th in power-play goals. Their ability to capitalize with the extra skater could give them a path if they draw penalties.

Mark Scheifele continues pacing the offense with 28 points. Kyle Connor follows with 25. Josh Morrissey remains a critical puck mover on the back end. Their issue is depth. Injuries stripped the middle of their lineup. Adam Lowry, Cole Perfetti and Dylan Samberg missed extended time. The loss of Connor Hellebuyck until around the new year left the crease to Eric Comrie.

Comrie plays with good aggression and strong tracking, but he faces high-danger volume due to the team’s breakdowns. Winnipeg must support the crease with cleaner exits and fewer gaps between layers.

Washington overview

Washington scored five on Columbus. Their blue line drove all of it. That has become their identity. Carlson and Chychrun activate frequently. Their forwards rotate high to maintain coverage. Their offensive pressure extends shifts and creates favorable matchups.

They rank 4th in goals and continue improving in zone exits. Alex Ovechkin and Tom Wilson add physical presence and net-front play. Their depth pieces hit their marks and maintain structure. Carbery’s group buys into layered defense. Their back pressure supports Thompson, whose footwork stabilized over recent games.

Washington generates stability at home. They force slower entries. They win board battles. Their ability to create offense from point shots separates them in tight games.

Injuries

Jets

  • Haydn Fleury, out, upper body
  • Connor Hellebuyck, out, knee
  • Neal Pionk, questionable, undisclosed
    Full roster outlook on the Winnipeg Jets page
  • .

Capitals

  • Nic Dowd, questionable, upper body
  • Pierre-Luc Dubois, out, lower body
    Team overview available on the Washington Capitals page
  • .

Betting Trends

  • Jets 10-6 SU as favorites this season.
  • Jets 4-1 to the over in last five.
  • Capitals 4-1 SU in last five.
  • Capitals 4-2 ATS as underdogs.
  • Jets 2-1 ATS in last three.
  • Capitals 6-4 ATS in last 10.

Best Bets and Prediction

Washington’s blue-line scoring and structure give them the edge. Winnipeg’s injuries and inconsistent execution make this a difficult travel spot. Comrie can keep them competitive, but Washington’s point activation and home form carry weight in this matchup.

Projected score: Capitals 4, Jets 3.
Best Bet: Capitals -158.
Total Lean: Over 6.0.

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