Florida Gators vs Providence Fiar Picks and Predictions November 28th 2025

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No. 10 Florida returns to the floor Friday in the Rady Children’s Invitational consolation game after an 84-80 loss to TCU. Todd Golden was blunt afterward, calling the Gators’ turnover issues “horrendous.” Florida coughed it up 19 times, with four starters committing at least three turnovers. The defending champions led by 10 early in the second half but collapsed as TCU shot nearly 58 percent after halftime. For updated Friday odds, check the NCAA basketball odds page.

Providence allowed 104 points to Wisconsin, its first time giving up 100 in regulation since 2009. Jason Edwards scored 20, but Kim English criticized his team’s effort, transition defense and focus. The Friars trailed by as many as 28 and were outscored 32-14 in fast-break points. Providence entered that matchup averaging more than 93 points per game but never found rhythm.

Both teams rely heavily on guard scoring. Florida’s Urban Klavzar came off the bench for 20 points vs. TCU, and Thomas Haugh added 20 despite his five turnovers. Providence needs cleaner possessions and better shot selection to avoid fueling Florida’s transition game.

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Line Movement and Odds

Florida opened as a moderate favorite, with totals inflated due to both teams’ tempo and turnover-driven scoring swings. Early money has leaned toward the under after both teams showed defensive concerns but also significant offensive volatility. For comparable totals on the slate, visit the college basketball previews section.

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida’s ceiling depends on ball security. When they take care of the ball, they create spacing advantages and force opposing bigs into mismatches. Their defense struggled late vs. TCU, but the rotations remain strong when they’re set.

Providence must rebuild defensive intensity after allowing Wisconsin to dictate everything in transition. Edwards remains their go-to scorer, but the Friars need support from the returning rotation to avoid another high-possession shootout. English repeatedly stressed effort and selflessness, areas that slipped badly on Thursday.

For additional angle support and model leans, visit the free college basketball picks page.

Injuries and Conditions

Florida

No new major injuries reported.
Full roster: Florida team page

Providence

No new injury concerns.
Full roster: Providence team page

Indoor environment, no weather impacts.

Best Bets and Prediction

This matchup favors the team that controls pace and turnover margin. Florida is capable of scoring in long stretches, and Providence’s defensive breakdowns Thursday were significant. Expect Golden to tighten rotations and emphasize ball security.

Projected Score: Florida 84, Providence 75
Best Bet: Florida −short number (up to −6.5 playable)
Secondary Lean: Under, tied to cleaner possessions and fewer transition leaks

For bankroll structure and smarter staking, use the Bettors Handbook.

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