Alabama Crimson Tide vs South Florida Bulls Picks and Predictions December 17th 2025

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Alabama Crimson Tide (7-3) host the South Florida Bulls (6-4) on Wednesday night in Tuscaloosa. Alabama looks to rebound from a blowout loss to No. 1 Arizona, while South Florida seeks its third straight win under first-year coach Bryan Hodgson.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Alabama Crimson Tide Spread: -14.5
  • South Florida Bulls Spread: +14.5
  • Alabama Crimson Tide MoneyLine: -1200
  • South Florida Bulls MoneyLine: +725
  • Total: 160.5

Alabama opened as a heavy favorite despite their struggles against Arizona. South Florida’s balanced scoring and recent momentum have kept bettors intrigued, but oddsmakers expect Alabama’s talent to prevail at home. The total of 160.5 points reflects expectations for a high-scoring contest, with both teams averaging over 88 points per game. See updated numbers and market shifts on the College Basketball Odds page.

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Matchup Breakdown

Alabama Crimson Tide Outlook

The Crimson Tide fell 96-75 to Arizona, exposing issues on the glass and turnovers. Labaron Philon Jr. leads with 21.7 points and 5.4 assists per game, recording his first double-double against the Wildcats. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. added a season-best 21 points, while Aiden Sherrell tied a school record with eight blocks. Alabama averages 93.1 points per game but must improve rebounding and ball security to avoid another upset.

South Florida Bulls Outlook

The Bulls defeated College of Charleston 81-75, fueled by a 23-0 first-half run. Joseph Pinion leads with 14.6 points per game and has hit six threes in three separate games this season. Freshman Tristan Beckford broke out with 17 points and nine rebounds, while Izaiyah Nelson anchors the frontcourt with 9.3 rebounds and 18 blocks. USF averages 88.6 points per game, with five players in double figures, showcasing depth and offensive balance.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

Alabama’s rebounding and turnover discipline versus South Florida’s perimeter shooting is the focal battle. The Crimson Tide must control the boards and limit second-chance points, while the Bulls rely on Pinion’s shooting and balanced scoring to stay competitive.

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Injuries / Availability

Alabama: Full roster available.
South Florida: Full roster available.

  • Alabama averages 93.1 points per game but was held to 75 vs. Arizona.
  • Philon has scored 20+ points in eight games this season.
  • South Florida has won two straight games.
  • Pinion leads USF with 34 made threes.
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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Alabama 88, South Florida 74

  • Pick: South Florida +14.5. Alabama’s rebounding issues could keep the margin closer than expected.
  • Total: Under 160.5. Despite both teams’ scoring averages, defensive adjustments may keep the total below the line.

Expect Alabama to bounce back with a win at home, but South Florida’s balanced attack should keep the game competitive enough to cover the spread.

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