Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Duke Blue Devils Picks and Predictions December 20th 2025

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The Duke Blue Devils enter 11-0 and ranked No. 3 nationally, while the Texas Tech Red Raiders look to secure their first win over a ranked opponent this season. Bettors will weigh Duke’s offensive efficiency against Texas Tech’s perimeter shooting in this neutral-site showdown at Madison Square Garden.

Line Movement and Odds

Duke opened as a strong favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their unbeaten record. Current market:

  • Duke Spread: -9.5 (-107)
  • Texas Tech Spread: +9.5 (-117)
  • Duke MoneyLine: -447
  • Texas Tech MoneyLine: +331
  • Total: 153.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Duke Outlook

Duke averages 87.7 points per game with a 50.2% field goal percentage, ranking 30th nationally. Cameron Boozer leads with scoring and rebounding, while Patrick Ngongba II adds interior presence. Their rebounding edge (43.4 per game) and depth highlight their strength. Their 11-0 record includes multiple wins over ranked opponents, underscoring their dominance.

Texas Tech Outlook

Texas Tech averages 83.6 points per game with strong perimeter shooting (11 threes per game, 23rd nationally). JT Toppin and LeJuan Watts provide scoring firepower, while Christian Anderson adds playmaking. Their defense remains a concern, allowing 73.9 points per game, but their offensive pace keeps them competitive.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Duke’s ability to control boards and limit turnovers, while Texas Tech must lean on perimeter shooting and Toppin’s scoring to stay close. If Duke maintains efficiency, their depth should create separation, but Texas Tech’s offense can keep the margin tight.

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Injuries / Availability

Duke: No confirmed injury updates available. You can check each team’s injury report for the latest status.

Texas Tech: Luke Bamgboye is unlikely to play due to injury, impacting their rotation depth.

Environment

Madison Square Garden provides a neutral-site setting. Duke’s experience in high-profile games gives them confidence, while Texas Tech hopes their offensive momentum carries into this marquee matchup.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Duke 85, Texas Tech 78

  • Texas Tech +9.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive pace and perimeter shooting make them a strong cover candidate.
  • Under 153.5 → Total play. Despite high scoring averages, defensive adjustments point toward a lower combined total.

Duke’s depth and efficiency should dictate the game, but Texas Tech’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

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