Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions December 25th 2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Christmas Day features a marquee Western Conference matchup as San Antonio visits Oklahoma City for a home-and-home rematch. The Spurs beat the Thunder 130-110 on Tuesday and now look to complete a sweep in less than three days. Victor Wembanyama continues to anchor San Antonio’s surge, and the Spurs enter riding a league-best seven-game winning streak.

Oklahoma City has rare urgency. Two of its four losses this season have come against San Antonio, and the Thunder are searching for answers after allowing season-high efficiency in the first meeting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander plays in his first Christmas Day game and made it clear the response matters after Tuesday’s loss.

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Line Movement and Odds

Oklahoma City opened -6.5 and has been bet down to -5, reflecting respect for San Antonio’s recent dominance in the matchup. The Spurs sit at +5, drawing sharper interest after controlling the paint and turnover margin Tuesday.

The total opened at 236.5 and moved up to 238.5. Bettors are reacting to San Antonio’s 57 percent shooting night and the Thunder’s pace-driven offense. Moneyline pricing still favors Oklahoma City, but liability has shifted toward the underdog.

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Matchup Breakdown

San Antonio’s edge is interior pressure. The Spurs dominated points in the paint and converted turnovers into clean looks. Wembanyama’s minutes remain managed, but his impact on both ends shifts spacing and rim protection. San Antonio has also defended better during this streak, forcing mistakes without over-fouling.

Oklahoma City still owns one of the league’s best turnover-forcing profiles. The Thunder average more points off turnovers than any team in the NBA. The challenge is finishing possessions. Tuesday marked the first time this season they allowed an opponent to shoot above 50 percent from the floor.

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Injuries and Conditions

San Antonio Spurs

• Victor Wembanyama, calf management, probable
• Devin Vassell, knee, probable

See full San Antonio Spurs injury report.

Oklahoma City Thunder

• Josh Giddey, ankle, questionable
• Cason Wallace, wrist, probable

See full Oklahoma City Thunder injury report.

This game is indoors. No weather impact.

Best Bets and Prediction

Oklahoma City has struggled recently to match San Antonio’s physicality. The Spurs have covered in six of their last seven and continue to outperform market expectations. The Thunder should respond with energy, but the matchup edge favors San Antonio again.

Projected Score: Thunder 118, Spurs 114
Best Bet: Spurs +5
Secondary Lean: Under 238.5

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