Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants Picks and Predictions December 28th 2025

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants Betting Preview

Las Vegas and New York meet Sunday in a matchup defined by frustration, pride and the looming implications of the No. 1 overall pick. Both teams enter 2-13 with nine straight losses, creating a rare pairing of clubs at least 11 games under .500 this late in the season. The loser moves into sole possession of last place in the league.

The Raiders showed flashes last week in a 23-21 loss at Houston, highlighted by rookie Ashton Jeanty’s 188 scrimmage yards and two long scores. Geno Smith struggled early, including an interception returned for a touchdown, and Las Vegas continues to search for offensive consistency. Maxx Crosby dismissed the draft implications and remains focused on performance despite a knee issue limiting his practice time.

New York enters after a 16-13 loss to Minnesota, a game where rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart attempted no passes until near halftime and absorbed five sacks. The Giants continue to work through personnel challenges and offensive instability, and injuries across the offensive line compound execution issues.

Both teams will attempt to stabilize structure and avoid the errors that have defined their extended losing streaks.

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Line Movement and Odds

Las Vegas opened -3 and has risen to -3.5 with early action favoring their offensive talent and home-field stability. New York is +3.5 with interest tied to defensive volatility and the unpredictability of two struggling offenses.

The total opened 38.5 and remains unchanged. Turnover frequency and limited explosive passing contribute to a lower-number environment.

Track all market adjustments on the NFL odds board.

Matchup Breakdown

New York’s offensive challenges begin with protection and pace. Dart’s confidence improves with structured play-action and simplified reads, but sustained drives have been limited by sacks, penalties and narrow passing lanes. The defense has produced competitive spurts but struggles to flip field position consistently. Their path requires minimizing negative plays and leveraging short fields created by takeaways.

The Raiders operate through Jeanty’s explosiveness and select moments of vertical passing. Smith must reduce turnover variance to stabilize efficiency. Defensively, Crosby anchors the front, and Las Vegas needs to compress passing windows and force Dart into hesitation. Their matchup advantage lies in red-zone potential and the reliability of their interior run game.

Key Information

Sport: NFL
Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Broadcast: CBS

Betting Odds (Projected Consensus)

Raiders Moneyline: -175
Giants Moneyline: +145
Raiders Spread: -3.5 (-110)
Giants Spread: +3.5 (-110)
Total: 38.5 (O/U -110)

The Giants Can Win If…

New York produces a controlled game plan built on short passing and steady runs. Dart needs early completions to build rhythm, and the offense must avoid early-down losses that forced pass-heavy sequences last week. Defensively, the Giants can capitalize on Smith’s interception rate and create favorable field position. Winning the turnover battle keeps scoring manageable and provides a path to a close finish.

Giants Injury Report (Projected)

Andrew Thomas, hamstring, questionable
John Michael Schmitz, finger, questionable
Evan Neal, neck, out
Tyler Nubin, neck, out
DJ Davidson, neck/concussion, out

Full updates available on the Giants team page.

The Raiders Can Win If…

Las Vegas leans on Jeanty’s explosiveness and protects Smith from early turnovers. Jeanty’s ability to stretch defenses horizontally and vertically provides the Raiders a scoring path even when sequencing is inconsistent. Defensively, pressure on Dart can compress the Giants’ playbook. If the Raiders dictate tempo and finish drives, they hold a structural edge at home.

Raiders Injury Report (Projected)

Brock Bowers, knee, out
Jeremy Chinn, back, out
Maxx Crosby, knee, questionable

Latest Betting Trends (Modeled)

Raiders SU last 9 games: 0-9
Giants SU last 9 games: 0-9
Raiders ATS last 5 home games: 2-3
Giants ATS last 4 road games: 1-3
Raiders O/U last 6 games: 4-2
Giants O/U last 6 games: 3-3

Study strategic betting concepts inside the Expert Betting Guide.

Best Bets and Prediction

This matchup features two struggling offenses, but Las Vegas carries higher explosive-play potential with Jeanty and a more stable protection structure at home. New York’s defensive volatility keeps them competitive, but their offensive limitations tighten their scoring ceiling.

Projected Score: Raiders 20, Giants 17
Best Bet: Giants +3.5
Secondary Lean: Under 38.5

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