Marshall Thundering Herd vs Georgia State Panthers Picks and Predictions December 31st 2025

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Georgia State heads to Huntington to face Marshall at the Cam Henderson Center on Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+. This is a Sun Belt conference spot where the market is clearly backing the home team. Marshall is laying 13.5 with a heavy moneyline, and the pricing is tied to two things that usually matter in these midweek league games: Georgia State has been rough on the road (1-8) and Marshall has been solid at home (6-1).

The interesting part is the total. 150.5 is not low, and it forces you to decide whether this turns into a clean, up-and-down game, or whether Georgia State’s offense stalls enough that it becomes more of a one-sided scoring night. Big spreads with mid-range totals can be tricky. If Marshall gets margin early, you can see pace drop in the second half and the underdog struggles to keep up.

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Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd Odds

These are the current betting lines, but you should always monitor movement and updated numbers on the latest NCAAB odds board before tip.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Georgia State Panthers+632+13.5 (-115)O 150.5
Marshall Thundering Herd-1050-13.5 (-109)U 150.5
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Georgia State Panthers Betting Form

Georgia State’s last result jumps off the page because scoring 110 always looks impressive, but the handicap is whether that offense travels into a true conference road environment. They’re 4-10 overall and the 1-8 road record is the bigger signal than any one blowout. That said, the Panthers do have a couple things you like when you’re taking points: they can make free throws (76.7%) and they have at least one reliable bucket-getter in Jelani Hamilton.

If Georgia State is going to cover +13.5, it probably looks like this: they hang around early, they don’t get crushed on the glass, and they keep scoring with free throws when the half-court offense gets choppy. The nightmare script is turnovers leading to runouts, because once Marshall strings together two or three easy baskets, the spread can be gone before halftime.

Georgia State injury report

PlayerStatusNotes
None reportedN/ANo confirmed injuries listed entering this matchup

Marshall Thundering Herd Betting Form

Marshall’s profile fits a team that can cover at home. They score 79.9 per game, they shoot efficiently (54.3% eFG), and they have enough perimeter volume to punish teams that fall behind and start chasing. The 6-1 home record is the practical edge here, because they’ve been consistent in their own building even when they’re not perfect defensively.

The spread is big, though, and that always creates one question: do they play full 40-minute basketball when they get ahead. Some teams with heavy home favorites let the last 8-10 minutes get loose, and that’s how underdogs cover without ever being “competitive.” Marshall does rebound well enough and can score in bursts, which is the good news if you’re laying it. If they control the glass and avoid foul trouble, they have a clean path to a double-digit win.

Marshall injury report

PlayerStatusNotes
None reportedN/ANo confirmed injuries listed entering this matchup

Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd Matchup Breakdown

This is a pace and execution matchup more than anything else. Georgia State wants a game where they can get to the line, set their defense, and avoid long stretches of empty possessions. Marshall’s best edge is turning the game into a run-and-score environment, especially at home where those little runs come easier and the underdog starts forcing shots.

The spread is telling you Marshall is expected to separate, so the angles come down to whether Georgia State can score enough to keep this within striking distance. If Georgia State gets stuck in the low 60s or high 60s, it’s hard to cover 13.5 unless Marshall also has an off shooting night. If Georgia State can get to the mid 70s, the cover becomes much more realistic even if Marshall wins comfortably.

The total at 150.5 is also a warning that oddsmakers expect points, but Georgia State’s road offense is the biggest variable. If the Panthers are inefficient early, this game can turn into Marshall scoring freely while Georgia State is grinding for points, and that often lands under because one team just can’t contribute.

Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd Predictions and Best Bets

My lean is Georgia State +13.5. It’s not because I trust their road profile, I don’t. It’s because the number is large enough that you can still cash even if Marshall is clearly better, and Georgia State’s free throw shooting gives them a realistic backdoor path. In a game where my baseline expectation is something like an 82-71 type finish, the points matter.

On the total, I lean under 150.5. Marshall can score, but Georgia State’s road inconsistency is the key risk for the over. If the Panthers are even slightly inefficient and this becomes a one-sided scoring game with pace slowing late, it’s tough to get to 151.

Best Bet: Georgia State Panthers +13.5 (-115).

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