UT Arlington Mavericks vs California Baptist Lancers Picks and Predictions January 1st 2026

Last Updated on

California Baptist Lancers vs UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview

Western Athletic Conference play continues Thursday afternoon in Arlington as California Baptist visits UT Arlington at the College Park Center. The Lancers enter at 10-4 and have been reliable in favorite roles, while UT Arlington sits at 8-5 and remains competitive at home. You can follow live pricing and market movement on the NCAA basketball odds page.

California Baptist is coming off a narrow loss at Utah Valley but shot efficiently and controlled stretches of the game. UT Arlington dropped a six-point decision to Tarleton State, where execution late proved costly despite balanced scoring.

sas logo

Every Sharp Move, Every Capper, All Sports

Track professional picks, line steam, and market swings in real time.

Line Movement and Odds

California Baptist opened as a short road favorite at −1.5, with the total set at 135.5. Early action has stayed tight, reflecting how evenly these teams profile on paper.

The number suggests a possession-by-possession game, where late free throws and rebounding margins matter most. For conference-wide matchup context, visit the college basketball previews page.

Matchup Breakdown

California Baptist’s edge starts on the glass. The Lancers rank top-50 nationally in rebounding and consistently create extra possessions. Dominique Daniels Jr. remains the primary scorer, with Jonathan Griman adding interior balance. California Baptist also shoots well at the free-throw line, a key edge in close road games.

UT Arlington counters with structure and efficiency. The Mavericks shoot over 46 percent from the field and defend well enough to stay in tight games. Marcell McCreary and Raysean Seamster provide steady scoring, while the Mavericks’ rebounding rate helps offset California Baptist’s edge on the boards.

If California Baptist controls the glass, they dictate tempo. If UT Arlington limits second chances and gets to the line, the home side stays live. For comparisons against other projections, the free college basketball picks page helps frame the spread.

Injuries and Conditions

California Baptist

No major rotation changes reported entering conference play.
Full details: California Baptist team page

UT Arlington

No significant absences reported.
Full details: UT Arlington team page

Indoor matchup, no external conditions.

Best Bets and Prediction

This matchup profiles as tight throughout, but California Baptist’s rebounding edge and free-throw efficiency give them the late-game advantage.

Projected Score: California Baptist 75, UT Arlington 72
Best Bet: California Baptist −1.5
Secondary Lean: Over 135.5, with both teams capable of efficient scoring

For situational betting structure and bankroll discipline, review the Bettors Handbook.

sas logo

Your Shortcut to the Sharp Side

Watch every verified capper’s move unfold across all major sports

ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks

Compare expert performance on the Handicapper Leaderboard and access premium breakdowns inside Service Plays.

Close games reward execution.