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Rice Owls vs Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
Rice Owls enter the Armed Forces Bowl at 5-7, leaning on their rushing attack and defensive disruption. Texas State Bobcats arrive at 6-6, powered by QB Brad Jackson and a balanced offense. This postseason clash in Fort Worth features two teams aiming to finish strong.
Line Movement and Odds
Texas State opened as a -10 favorite, with market support steady. Public lean favors the Bobcats’ offensive firepower, but Rice’s ATS record as an underdog has drawn sharp interest.
- Texas State Spread: -10.0 (-109)
- Rice Spread: +10.0 (-111)
- Texas State MoneyLine: -385
- Rice MoneyLine: +300
- Total: 59.5 (-110)
For broader market context, check the latest college football odds page.
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Matchup Breakdown
Rice Outlook
RB Quinton Jackson leads the Owls with 811 rushing yards, supported by a ground game ranked top-20 nationally. Rice’s defense adds 22 sacks and multiple interceptions, giving them disruptive potential. Their ability to control tempo and force turnovers is their path to staying competitive.
Texas State Outlook
QB Brad Jackson headlines the Bobcats with efficient passing, supported by RB Lincoln Pare and WR Beau Sparks’ 1,113 receiving yards. Texas State ranks top-20 nationally in scoring and rushing, while their defense adds eight interceptions. Their balanced offense and turnover creation provide a path to victory.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The game hinges on Texas State’s offensive rhythm against Rice’s defensive front. If the Bobcats establish balance early, they control tempo. Rice must lean on rushing efficiency and turnover margin to stay inside the number.
Injuries / Availability
Rice lists CB Khary Crump and WR Braylen Walker questionable, while RB Max Balthazar is out.
Texas State has DL Bryce Carter questionable.
Environment
Amon G. Carter Stadium provides a neutral-site setting, though Texas State’s in-state proximity adds fan support. Rice’s resilience and Texas State’s offensive firepower add intrigue. Weather conditions are stable, keeping execution clean.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Texas State 42, Rice 24
- Texas State -10.0 → Best Bet. Strong offensive balance and recent momentum give them the edge.
- Over 59.5 → Playable. Both teams trend toward high-scoring games, pointing to points on the board.
Expect a competitive game early with Texas State’s offense pulling away late. The projected score supports the favorite and a lean to the over.
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