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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
Oklahoma City brings remarkable consistency into Memphis. The Thunder have beaten the Grizzlies 15 straight times, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains the constant driver regardless of circumstances. He poured in 46 points in an overtime win over Utah on Wednesday, carrying a short-handed Thunder roster through pressure moments.
Memphis continues to search for stability. The Grizzlies have dealt with injuries all season and were overwhelmed by Phoenix on Wednesday, committing 18 turnovers that led directly to 25 points. Tuomas Iisalo said his team lacked energy on the back end of a back-to-back, an issue that has surfaced often with so many rotation pieces unavailable.
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Line Movement and Odds
Oklahoma City opened -7 and has moved to -8.5 with steady support for the road favorite. Memphis sits at +8.5, though injury uncertainty continues to limit confidence on the home side.
The total opened at 224.5 and has slipped to 223, reflecting Memphis’ offensive limitations and Oklahoma City’s ability to dictate pace when playing from ahead. Moneyline pricing favors the Thunder around -350, with the Grizzlies near +280.
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Matchup Breakdown
Oklahoma City’s advantage starts with control. Gilgeous-Alexander’s consistency keeps the Thunder efficient late in games, even when rotation depth is tested. Their ability to force turnovers and convert them into points fits well against a Memphis team prone to mistakes.
Memphis needs to simplify. With so many guards unavailable, ball security and half-court execution become priorities. If the Grizzlies can limit turnovers and slow Oklahoma City’s transition attack, they can keep this competitive longer than recent meetings.
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Injuries and Conditions
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Isaiah Hartenstein, soleus strain, out
- Alex Caruso, back, questionable
See full Oklahoma City Thunder injury report.
Memphis Grizzlies
- Ja Morant, calf, out
- Ty Jerome, calf, out
- Scotty Pippen Jr., toe, out
- Zach Edey, ankle, out
- Cedric Coward, ankle, out
See full Memphis Grizzlies injury report.
This game is indoors, no weather impact.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Oklahoma City’s consistency and turnover pressure continue to be a mismatch for an injury-depleted Memphis roster. Unless the Grizzlies protect the ball at a much higher rate, the streak is likely to continue.
Projected Score: Thunder 118, Grizzlies 108
Best Bet: Thunder -8.5
Secondary Lean: Under 223
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