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UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Picks and Predictions – Saturday, January 10, 2026
UL Monroe heads to Hattiesburg on Saturday afternoon for a Sun Belt game against a Southern Miss team that has been steady at home all season. This is a tough profile matchup for an underdog, because the Warhawks are still looking for their first road win, and Southern Miss has been comfortable building margins in Reed Green Coliseum.
The betting question is simple. Can UL Monroe score efficiently enough to stay inside a big number, or does Southern Miss control the glass, get to the line, and turn a close first half into separation late. The total is also priced high for a game where tempo and late-game fouling can swing the final five minutes.
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UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks | +740 | +15.5 (-118) | O 157.5 (-113) |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | -1414 | -15.5 (-108) | U 157.5 (-111) |
UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Form
UL Monroe is 3-14 overall and 0-9 on the road, so the baseline is ugly before you even get to matchup specifics. The part that can still matter for bettors is that this team can score when it’s making shots. They just put up 79 in an 85-79 loss to Louisiana while shooting 53.8%, and Krystian Lewis is capable of taking over stretches when he gets downhill and lives at the rim or the line.
The cover path here is tied to perimeter efficiency and empty possessions. UL Monroe’s 3-point volume is workable, and if the threes are falling early, it keeps the game in a scoring range where a backdoor is live. If they’re trading misses and giving Southern Miss extra trips, the number can get out of hand fast. For a clean snapshot of their form and recent results, the UL Monroe Warhawks team page is the quick check. Availability matters, so monitor the UL Monroe injury report before tip.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Form
Southern Miss is 10-7 overall and 7-1 at home, and that home split is the reason they’re priced like a heavy favorite. They’re scoring 76.3 points per game, they shoot it efficiently, and they’ve been reliable at the foul line, which is exactly how big favorites cash when the underdog has to foul late.
They also come in off an 80-70 win over Texas State where Tylik Weeks carried the scoring and Djahi Binet controlled the glass. That matters in this spot. If Southern Miss is winning rebounds and getting to the stripe, it doesn’t need a perfect shooting night to build margin. You can track their recent form on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles team page, and you should still check the Southern Miss injury report before you lock anything in.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Matchup Breakdown
This game is a script battle. UL Monroe wants shot-making and a steady pace where it can stay connected possession-to-possession. Southern Miss wants to turn this into a possession edge game, win the glass, avoid live-ball turnovers, and force UL Monroe to defend without fouling.
The total is where the context matters most. Both teams can score, but the pace indicators in your notes lean slower than what a 157.5 implies, and big spreads create weird endings. If Southern Miss is up 12-18 late, fouling can inflate a total quickly. If UL Monroe’s offense stalls and Southern Miss plays through the clock, the under stays live. If you want a tighter framework for totals in games with big spreads, the college basketball betting guide is a useful refresher.
UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Southern Miss -15.5, because the home/road splits line up with a game where Southern Miss can control the possession count and extend late at the line. The only real hesitation is the classic favorite problem, if Southern Miss trades buckets instead of stacking stops, it becomes harder to cover a number this big.
On the total, I lean under 157.5 based on the pace projection you’re working with and the model score range. UL Monroe can shoot well enough to scare it, but it needs a very efficient night to push this over without a foul-heavy finish.
Best Bet: Under 157.5 (-111).
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