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North Dakota State Bison vs Omaha Mavericks Picks and Predictions – Saturday, January 10, 2026
North Dakota State heads to Omaha on Saturday for a Summit League matchup at Baxter Arena, and the market is giving the Bison respect as a short road favorite. That price makes sense if you start with offensive profile. North Dakota State has been one of the more consistent scoring teams in the league, it can generate points with both shooting and pace, and it rarely needs a perfect night to get into the 70s or low 80s. Omaha, meanwhile, has been more reliable at home than away, and it has enough shooting to make this uncomfortable if the Mavericks get early rhythm and can keep the game in a possession-to-possession script.
The total at 147.5 signals a game where both teams are expected to score, but it also carries a clear pace tension. North Dakota State is the more willing tempo team, while Omaha tends to play slower and more controlled. When those styles meet, the spread often comes down to whether the favorite can speed the game up without turning it into a sloppy turnover exchange. If the Bison can get clean early offense and consistent threes, they can cover this number. If Omaha forces a halfcourt game and makes the Bison execute deeper into the clock, the +4.5 becomes live, and it also pulls the total down with it.
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North Dakota State Bison vs Omaha Mavericks Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep tracking movement throughout the day on the latest college basketball odds board.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | -211 | -4.5 (-118) | O 147.5 (-109) |
| Omaha Mavericks | +169 | +4.5 (-108) | U 147.5 (-112) |
North Dakota State Bison Betting Form
North Dakota State is 13-5 overall and comes in off a 97-73 win over Kansas City that looked like the version of this team the market trusts, balanced scoring, efficient offense, and enough tempo to create separation. Treyson Anderson’s 23 points and eight rebounds were the headline, and Damari Wheeler-Thomas added efficient secondary production, which matters for a road favorite. If North Dakota State is getting two or three players into double figures, it becomes difficult to guard for 40 minutes because the offense is not reliant on a single scoring run.
The betting foundation for the Bison is that they can score in repeatable ways. They’re averaging 81.8 points per game and they are one of the better perimeter teams nationally, making 10.6 threes per game. That three-point volume is the lever that can break a slow home team, because it shortens the number of stops needed to create a cushion. The road record is 4-4, which is not dominant, but it shows they can travel and handle normal conference road environments. In this matchup, the key is shot selection and turnover control. If the Bison are trading good shots for good shots, their offensive ceiling can separate late. For a quick snapshot of results and splits, use the North Dakota State Bison team page. Availability matters, so monitor the North Dakota State injury report before tip.
Omaha Mavericks Betting Form
Omaha is 8-10 overall, but it has been more competitive at home at 6-4, which is why this spread is still in the single digits. The Mavericks are coming off a 90-79 win over North Dakota, and that game showed their best script, efficient shooting, scoring from multiple spots, and enough rebounding to create extra chances. Tony Osburn’s 27 points on strong efficiency and Paul Djobet’s double-double highlight that Omaha can produce against conference opponents when it gets a steady offensive flow.
From a betting standpoint, Omaha’s profile is built around shot-making and controlled possessions. The effective field goal percentage at 54.5% suggests a team that can generate quality looks, and the three-point shooting at 36.4% gives them the spacing to punish overhelp. Lance Waddles’ 42.4% from deep is the piece that can swing a spread like this, because a couple of made threes can quickly flip momentum and keep the underdog within one possession. The key question is whether Omaha can get those clean perimeter looks without needing to speed up, because playing faster typically benefits the Bison. Track form and roster notes on the Omaha Mavericks team page, and check the Omaha injury report before you lock anything in.
North Dakota State Bison vs Omaha Mavericks Matchup Breakdown
This matchup is about whether North Dakota State’s three-point volume can break Omaha’s preferred pace. The Mavericks want a slower game, fewer transition chances, and more halfcourt possessions where they can defend without scrambling. North Dakota State wants to get shots up, especially threes, and it’s comfortable winning a possession game through math, if the Bison make two more threes than Omaha, that alone can swing a tight spread in this range.
For Omaha to cover, it needs to control tempo and finish possessions with rebounds. If North Dakota State is getting extra looks through offensive boards or is running off turnovers, Omaha’s halfcourt defense never gets set, and the game becomes harder to manage. Omaha’s three-point shooting gives it a real chance to hang around, but it has to avoid stretches where it trades twos for threes, because that is how a +4.5 turns into a double-digit deficit. On the total, the pace numbers suggest the under is live if Omaha’s style holds, because the game could land in the low 140s even with decent efficiency. If North Dakota State speeds it up and both teams shoot well from deep, 147.5 becomes reachable.
North Dakota State Bison vs Omaha Mavericks Predictions and Best Bets
I lean North Dakota State -4.5. The Bison’s offense is the more reliable unit, and their three-point volume gives them a clean separation tool in a game that could be decided by a couple of possessions. Omaha’s home record and shooting keep the Mavericks live, but the matchup still favors the team that can score without needing the game to be perfect. If North Dakota State limits turnovers and keeps Omaha from getting easy transition points, it should be able to build margin by stringing together threes and finishing possessions.
On the total, I lean under 147.5 based on the pace expectation and the model projection you provided. Omaha’s preferred tempo is the biggest factor, and if the Mavericks control the game environment, the under becomes the better position. The risk is that both teams are capable from deep, and a three-point heavy game can inflate the score quickly, especially if the underdog is chasing late.
Best Bet: North Dakota State -4.5 (-118).
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NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re betting college basketball daily, start with the NCAAB picks hub and compare prices on the latest college basketball odds board, because Summit League lines can move quickly when bettors decide whether to price offense and three-point volume more heavily than home-court splits, and this matchup sits right in that decision zone. This is also a game where live betting can give you a clearer edge than pregame if you get an early read on tempo and shot quality, if Omaha is forcing longer possessions and North Dakota State is not getting clean early threes, the live total often stays too high for too long, and that can create stronger under entries than the pregame number. For more matchup breakdowns across the slate, use the NCAAB previews hub to compare pace notes and matchup profiles, then track performance on the handicappers leaderboard to decide whose approach fits how you bet, whether you’re targeting spreads, totals, first-half positions, or live entries built around game flow.
