Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Picks and Predictions January 12th 2026

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Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Betting Preview

The Incarnate Word Cardinals enter 8-8 and look to snap their road struggles, while the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks aim to remain unbeaten at home in this Southland Conference clash at Johnson Coliseum.

Line Movement and Odds

Stephen F. Austin opened as the favorite, with the line reflecting confidence in their home dominance. Current market:

  • Incarnate Word Spread: +7.5 (-107)
  • Stephen F. Austin Spread: -7.5 (-117)
  • Incarnate Word MoneyLine: +290
  • Stephen F. Austin MoneyLine: -387
  • Total: 138.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Incarnate Word Outlook

The Cardinals average 72.1 points per game, with Tahj Staveskie, Marcus Glover, and Josh Morgan leading the offense. Staveskie’s 11 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists vs Lamar highlighted his versatility, while Glover’s 10 points and 6 rebounds added balance. Their three-point shooting (39.2%, 26th nationally) underscores perimeter strength. Their 1-7 road record shows struggles, though their effective FG% (53.3%) highlights offensive efficiency.

Stephen F. Austin Outlook

The Lumberjacks average 79 points per game, with Keon Thompson, Lateef Patrick, and Chrishawn Christmas providing scoring depth. Patrick’s 14 points vs Houston Christian highlighted his consistency, while Christmas added rebounding strength. Their 8-0 home record underscores dominance at Johnson Coliseum, with rebounding (40.1 per game, 49th nationally) adding reliability. Their 13-3 overall record shows consistency in Southland play.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The game hinges on Incarnate Word’s ability to maintain perimeter shooting and offensive rhythm, while Stephen F. Austin must lean on rebounding and tempo control to pace the attack. If Stephen F. Austin controls the boards, their depth should create separation. Incarnate Word’s hopes rest on three-point efficiency and defensive resilience to keep the game close.

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Injuries / Availability

Incarnate Word: No injuries reported.

Stephen F. Austin: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Johnson Coliseum provides Stephen F. Austin with a strong home-court edge, where they have gone 8-0 this season. Incarnate Word’s perimeter shooting highlights their ability to compete despite road struggles.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 73, Incarnate Word 63

  • Stephen F. Austin -7.5 → Best Bet. Their rebounding advantage and home dominance make them the sharper side.
  • Under 138.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

Stephen F. Austin’s depth and rebounding should dictate the game, while Incarnate Word’s three-point shooting keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest trending under the total.

Handicappers and Service Plays

Southland Conference games often create unique betting angles. Our Best Handicappers spotlight experts who consistently read market shifts, while the Leaderboard shows who’s riding winning streaks. Premium insights in Buy Picks provide deeper reasoning behind each wager. For matchups like Incarnate Word vs Stephen F. Austin, expert perspectives can help identify sharp angles in spreads and totals.

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