Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Miami Hurricanes Picks and Predictions January 13th 2026

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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish look to defend their home court, while the Miami Hurricanes aim to extend their nine-game winning streak in this ACC matchup at Purcell Pavilion.

Line Movement and Odds

Miami enters as the favorite, but Notre Dame’s strong home record keeps this line interesting. Current market:

  • Notre Dame Spread: +4.5 (-121)
  • Miami Spread: -4.5 (-106)
  • Notre Dame MoneyLine: +153
  • Miami MoneyLine: -194
  • Total: 144.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Notre Dame Outlook

The Fighting Irish average 73.5 points per game, with Jalen Haralson and Braeden Shrewsberry leading the offense. Haralson’s 18 points vs Clemson highlighted his consistency, while Carson Towt’s rebounding adds interior presence. Notre Dame’s perimeter shooting (37.2% from three, 54th nationally) gives them a chance to keep pace with Miami. Their 8-3 home record underscores strength at Purcell Pavilion, and their ATS success as underdogs (covering 75% of those games) suggests they can stay competitive even against ranked opponents.

Miami Outlook

The Hurricanes average 88.2 points per game, with Malik Reneau and Tre Donaldson driving production. Donaldson’s 27 points and 10 assists vs Georgia Tech showcased his playmaking, while Ernest Udeh Jr.’s 15 rebounds added dominance inside. Miami’s shooting efficiency (51.8% FG, 12th nationally) and balanced scoring highlight their offensive depth. Their 14-2 record and perfect mark as favorites show consistency, while their 3-1 road record proves they can win away from Coral Gables.

Key Factors

This contest may hinge on rebounding and perimeter shooting. Miami’s efficiency inside and ability to control the boards could tilt the game, while Notre Dame’s three-point accuracy is their best weapon to keep the margin close. Turnovers and bench production will also play a role in determining the outcome.

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Injuries / Availability

Notre Dame: Markus Burton remains sidelined with an ankle injury. Jalen Haralson continues to carry the scoring load.

Miami: No notable injuries reported.

Environment

Purcell Pavilion has been a reliable venue for Notre Dame, where they’ve gone 8-3 this season. Miami enters with momentum from nine straight wins, making this a clash of home strength vs road form.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Miami 86, Notre Dame 76

  • Miami -4.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive firepower and efficiency should help them cover the spread.
  • Over 144.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

Miami’s depth and offensive rhythm should carry them to victory, while Notre Dame’s home-court advantage keeps the game competitive. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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