Syracuse Orange vs Florida State Seminoles Picks and Predictions January 13th 2026

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The Syracuse Orange look to extend their hot streak at home, while the Florida State Seminoles aim to regroup after a lopsided defeat in this ACC matchup at the JMA Wireless Dome.

Line Movement and Odds

Syracuse enters as a solid favorite, reflecting their recent form and home-court strength. Current market:

  • Syracuse Spread: -8.5 (-113)
  • Florida State Spread: +8.5 (-110)
  • Syracuse MoneyLine: -417
  • Florida State MoneyLine: +312
  • Total: 159.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida State Outlook

The Seminoles average 82.9 points per game, with Thomas Bassong, Robert McCray V, and Lajae Jones providing offensive sparks. Bassong’s 14 points vs NC State highlighted his efficiency, though the team’s defensive lapses proved costly. Florida State ranks 18th nationally in three-pointers made, giving them perimeter firepower. Their 2-8 stretch in the last 10 games underscores inconsistency, but their ability to generate high shot volume (26th in attempts) means they can pressure Syracuse’s defense if shots fall.

Syracuse Outlook

The Orange average 74.8 points per game, with Donnie Freeman, JJ Starling, and Tyler Betsey leading the charge. Freeman’s 22 points vs Pitt underscored his impact since returning from injury, while Starling’s perimeter shooting adds balance. Syracuse’s defense has been the difference, holding opponents to poor three-point percentages in recent games. Their 9-4 home record and 90% win rate as favorites highlight reliability, while their 4-1 run in the last five contests shows momentum.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on three-point shooting. Syracuse has tightened perimeter defense, while Florida State relies heavily on outside scoring. Rebounding and pace will also matter—Syracuse prefers a slower tempo, while Florida State thrives in higher-possession games.

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Injuries / Availability

Florida State: No new injuries reported, though effort and consistency remain concerns.

Syracuse: Donnie Freeman is back from injury and contributing significantly.

Environment

The JMA Wireless Dome has been a reliable venue for Syracuse, where they’ve gone 9-4 this season. Florida State enters winless on the road, making this a difficult setting to reverse their recent struggles.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Syracuse 78, Florida State 72

  • Florida State +8.5 → Best Bet. Their scoring ability and three-point shooting give them a chance to stay within the number.
  • Under 159.5 → Total play. Syracuse’s slower pace and defensive focus suggest a combined score below the posted line.

Syracuse’s defense and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Florida State’s offense keeps the margin manageable. Expect a competitive contest with scoring falling short of the total.

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