Oklahoma Sooners vs Florida Gators Picks and Predictions January 13th 2026

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The Florida Gators, back in the AP Top 25 at No. 19, look to continue their surge, while the Oklahoma Sooners aim to protect their perfect home record in this SEC showdown at Lloyd Noble Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Florida enters as the road favorite, but Oklahoma’s unbeaten home mark keeps this line tight. Current market:

  • Florida Spread: -5.5 (-111)
  • Oklahoma Spread: +5.5 (-112)
  • Florida MoneyLine: -238
  • Oklahoma MoneyLine: +187
  • Total: 155.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Florida Outlook

The Gators average 85.2 points per game, with Boogie Fland, Rueben Chinyelu, and Thomas Haugh driving production. Fland’s 23 points vs Tennessee highlighted his scoring punch, while Chinyelu’s 16 rebounds underscored Florida’s dominance on the glass. Their rebounding margin (+15.9, best in Division I) gives them extra possessions and limits opponents’ second chances. Florida’s 4-1 run in their last five games shows momentum, and their efficiency at both ends makes them a dangerous road favorite.

Oklahoma Outlook

The Sooners average 84.4 points per game, with Nijel Pack and Xzayvier Brown leading the backcourt. Pack’s 24 points vs Texas A&M showcased his ability to carry the offense, while Derrion Reid’s double-double added balance. Oklahoma’s shooting efficiency (55.4% eFG) and perimeter scoring (10.1 threes per game) highlight their offensive versatility. Their 10-0 home record underscores Lloyd Noble Center as a tough venue, and their ability to protect the ball—despite recent turnover issues—remains a key strength.

Key Factors

This matchup may swing on rebounding. Florida’s dominance on the boards could overwhelm Oklahoma’s frontcourt, while the Sooners’ perimeter shooting is their best counter. Bench production is another storyline, as Oklahoma’s reserves have struggled in recent games, while Florida’s depth has provided steady contributions.

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Injuries / Availability

Florida: No injuries reported.

Oklahoma: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Lloyd Noble Center has been a fortress for Oklahoma, where they remain undefeated this season. Florida enters with confidence after back-to-back wins over ranked opponents, making this a clash of momentum vs home dominance.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Florida 87, Oklahoma 80

  • Florida -5.5 → Best Bet. Their rebounding edge and balanced scoring should help them cover the spread.
  • Over 155.5 → Total play. Both teams’ high-scoring offenses point toward a combined score above the line.

Florida’s rebounding and offensive efficiency should dictate the game, while Oklahoma’s home-court advantage keeps it competitive. Expect a fast-paced contest with scoring totals surpassing the posted number.

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