Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Picks and Predictions January 17th 2026

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The Ole Miss Rebels look to extend their winning momentum, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs aim to defend their home floor in this SEC rivalry clash at Humphrey Coliseum.

Line Movement and Odds

Mississippi State enters as the favorite, but Ole Miss’s recent surge makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Ole Miss Spread: +3.5 (-114)
  • Mississippi State Spread: -3.5 (-109)
  • Ole Miss MoneyLine: +135
  • Mississippi State MoneyLine: -168
  • Total: 147.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Ole Miss Outlook

The Rebels average 76.5 points per game, with Malik Dia, AJ Storr, and Patton Pinkins leading the offense. Storr’s 27 points vs Georgia highlighted his scoring punch, while Pinkins’ buzzer-beating putback showcased his clutch ability. Ole Miss’s shooting efficiency (45.5% FG, 134th nationally in three-point percentage at 35.4%) and free-throw accuracy (74.1%) underscore their strengths. Their 10-7 record and recent two-game winning streak highlight resilience, making them a dangerous underdog.

Mississippi State Outlook

The Bulldogs average 80.1 points per game, with Josh Hubbard, Jayden Epps, and Quincy Ballard driving production. Hubbard’s 22.8 points per game lead the SEC, while Ballard’s 17 rebounds vs Alabama showcased his impact. Mississippi State’s rebounding (40.7 per game, 38th nationally) and home record (7-5) underscore their strengths. Their 10-7 record and ability to win as favorites highlight consistency, making them tough at Humphrey Coliseum.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Ole Miss thrives on offensive depth and free throws, while Mississippi State must rely on Hubbard’s scoring and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Ole Miss: No injuries reported.

Mississippi State: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

Humphrey Coliseum has been a reliable venue for Mississippi State, where they’ve gone 7-5 this season. Ole Miss enters with confidence from their win over Georgia, making this a clash of home strength vs road resilience.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Mississippi State 78, Ole Miss 76

  • Ole Miss +3.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive depth and recent momentum suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Over 147.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

Mississippi State’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Ole Miss’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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