Houston Cougars vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Predictions January 18th 2026

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The Arizona State Sun Devils look to shock the Big 12, while the Houston Cougars aim to extend their dominant run at the Fertitta Center.

Line Movement and Odds

Houston enters as the heavy favorite, but Arizona State’s offensive pace makes this line intriguing. Current market:

  • Arizona State Spread: +16.5 (-109)
  • Houston Spread: -16.5 (-112)
  • Arizona State MoneyLine: +1075
  • Houston MoneyLine: -2500
  • Total: 145.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Arizona State Outlook

The Sun Devils average 80.8 points per game, with Maurice Odum, Massamba Diop, and Anthony Johnson leading the offense. Odum’s 23 points and 7 assists vs Arizona highlighted his consistency, while Diop’s 16 points and 6 rebounds showcased his efficiency. Arizona State’s shooting efficiency (18.4 free throws made per game, 46th nationally) and recent ATS success (covering 2 of their last 3) underscore their strengths. Their 10-7 record and ability to compete against ranked teams highlight resilience, making them a dangerous underdog.

Houston Outlook

The Cougars average 77.2 points per game, with Emanuel Sharp, Milos Uzan, and Kingston Flemings driving production. Sharp’s 13 points vs West Virginia highlighted his consistency, while Flemings’ 15.4 points per game showcase his impact as a freshman. Houston’s defensive efficiency (holding WVU to 48 points) and home record (12-1) underscore their strengths. Their 16-1 record and 10-game winning streak highlight dominance, making them tough at the Fertitta Center.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on pace and perimeter defense. Arizona State thrives on free throws and offensive depth, while Houston must rely on defensive control and home-court energy to tilt the game. Turnovers and rebounding will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Arizona State: Bryce Ford (back) returned vs Arizona, expected to play.

Houston: No notable injuries listed.

Environment

The Fertitta Center has been a fortress for Houston, where they’ve gone 12-1 this season. Arizona State enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs road-tested resilience.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Houston 78, Arizona State 70

  • Arizona State +16.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and balanced scoring suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Under 145.5 → Total play. Both teams’ slower pace points toward a combined score below the line.

Houston’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Arizona State’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a moderately high-scoring contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

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