Oregon Ducks vs Michigan State Spartans Picks and Predictions January 20th 2026

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The Michigan State Spartans look to extend their winning streak, while the Oregon Ducks aim to defend their home floor in this Big Ten clash at Matthew Knight Arena.

Line Movement and Odds

Michigan State enters as the favorite, but Oregon’s strong home record makes this line competitive. Current market:

  • Michigan State Spread: -10.5 (-113)
  • Oregon Spread: +10.5 (-111)
  • Michigan State MoneyLine: -560
  • Oregon MoneyLine: +393
  • Total: 140.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Michigan State Outlook

The Spartans average 79.1 points per game, with Jeremy Fears Jr., Jaxon Kohler, and Coen Carr leading the offense. Fears’ 19 points and 5 assists vs Washington highlighted his consistency, while Kohler’s rebounding presence showcased his impact. Michigan State’s shooting efficiency (42.2 rebounds per game; strong assist numbers) underscores their strengths. Their 16-2 record and undefeated mark as favorites (15-0) highlight dominance, making them a dangerous favorite.

Oregon Outlook

The Ducks average 75.2 points per game, with Sean Stewart, Kwame Evans Jr., and Takai Simpkins driving production. Stewart’s 22 points vs Michigan highlighted his breakout performance, while Evans’ 18 points and 7 rebounds showcased his consistency. Oregon’s shooting efficiency (7-3 home record; 36% from three) underscores their strengths. Their 8-10 record and ability to win at Matthew Knight Arena highlight resilience, making them tough at home despite missing Nate Bittle and Jackson Shelstad.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on rebounding and depth. Michigan State thrives on balanced scoring and offensive depth, while Oregon must rely on Stewart’s emergence and Evans’ consistency to tilt the game. Turnovers and late-game execution will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Michigan State: No injuries reported.

Oregon: Nate Bittle (foot) and Jackson Shelstad (hand) remain out, impacting scoring depth.

Environment

Matthew Knight Arena has been a reliable venue for Oregon, where they’ve gone 7-3 this season. Michigan State enters with confidence from strong offensive performances, making this a clash of home strength vs road-tested dominance.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Michigan State 82, Oregon 70

  • Michigan State -10.5 → Best Bet. Their offensive efficiency and rebounding suggest they can cover the spread.
  • Over 140.5 → Total play. Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward a combined score above the line.

Michigan State’s depth and shooting rhythm should carry them to victory, while Oregon’s home-court advantage keeps the game competitive early. Expect a high-scoring contest with totals surpassing the posted number.

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