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Furman heads to McAlister Field House to face The Citadel on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET in a Southern Conference matchup on ESPN+. Furman is 13-6 and priced like the clearly better team, while The Citadel is 5-14 and trying to string together positives after a needed win.
This number is big for a conference road game, so the real question is not whether Furman can win. It’s whether Furman can win cleanly enough to cover, or if The Citadel’s pace swings and three-point volume make this annoying late.
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Furman Paladins vs The Citadel Bulldogs Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor updated numbers and movement on the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furman Paladins | -652 | -10.5 (-112) | O 139.5 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs | +436 | +10.5 (-112) | U 139.5 |
Grand Canyon Antelopes
vs
San Diego St Aztecs
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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Score
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+1.00 -106
Spread
-1.00 -106
o+143.50-108
Total
u+143.50-108
–
Moneyline
–
USC Trojans
vs
Northwestern Wildcats
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
–
Score
–
–
Spread
–
o+154.00-108
Total
u+154.00-108
–
Moneyline
–
Saint Mary’s Gaels
vs
Oregon St Beavers
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
–
Score
–
-17.50 -106
Spread
+17.50 -106
o+142.00-108
Total
u+142.00-108
–
Moneyline
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Furman Paladins Betting Form
Furman’s profile is built on shot quality inside the arc. The 62.2% two-point shooting is elite, and it creates a pretty stable scoring base even when the perimeter shots come and go. They’re averaging 77.2 points per game, and a lot of that comes from getting good paint touches, finishing, and not wasting possessions with rushed looks.
The Wofford loss (74-70) is a decent reminder that Furman can still get dragged into a tighter game when the pace slows and every half-court trip matters. Still, Alex Wilkins is the kind of scorer who travels, and the rebounding numbers suggest Furman can control the possession battle more often than not. That’s usually how you cover larger spreads in league play. Not by being flashy. By stacking empty trips for the opponent.
Availability always matters, especially when you’re laying double digits in conference. Monitor the Furman Paladins injury report before tipoff because any rotation disruption can turn a “comfortable win” into a “win by eight” type of night.
The Citadel Bulldogs Betting Form
The Citadel is 5-14, so the baseline is obvious. There have been too many stretches where they can’t string stops together, and that puts constant pressure on the offense to keep up. The path to hanging around is usually some combination of hot perimeter shooting and playing with enough tempo that the game gets a little messy.
They can shoot it, though. Making 9.5 threes per game is real volume, and that’s the one thing that can make a big spread feel fragile. If The Citadel hits early threes, the crowd gets engaged, Furman has to guard longer, and suddenly the underdog is not just surviving, they’re dictating how the game feels.
They’re coming off an 82-68 win over VMI, and Braxton Williams’ scoring pop gives them a real lead option. I also like that this is a home spot, even with a 4-6 home record. It’s still a better environment than trying to win away (1-8), and that matters for a team that plays in waves. Monitor the The Citadel Bulldogs injury report before tipoff because if they’re short on shooters or ball-handlers, the upset or cover paths get much thinner.
If you want a quick way to compare team context and results across the board, the NCAAB teams hub is useful for checking how profiles have been trending beyond one box score.
Furman Paladins vs The Citadel Bulldogs Matchup Breakdown
This is a shot profile clash. Furman wants to win at the rim and in the paint with high-percentage twos. The Citadel wants to fire threes and create a scoreboard swing without needing to be perfect defensively. If Furman is finishing inside at its normal rate, The Citadel has to hit a lot of threes just to keep contact.
The other key is how many clean looks The Citadel generates. If Furman is closing out under control and forcing tougher threes, The Citadel’s offense can stall for long stretches. That’s where Furman can separate, because their scoring base is steadier. They don’t need a big shooting night to get to the mid-70s.
The total at 139.5 sits in an awkward middle. Furman can score efficiently, and The Citadel can lift the pace with threes, but a lot of this depends on whether The Citadel is scoring early. If they’re missing, you can get a long stretch of empty possessions and rushed threes that die on the rim and turn into runouts the other way.
If you’re trying to handicap whether a big favorite is worth laying, it helps to think in terms of repeatable edges versus variance. The framework in a broader sports betting strategy guide still applies here. Ask what is stable, what is swingy, and whether the number is paying you for taking that risk.
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Furman Paladins vs The Citadel Bulldogs Predictions and Best Bets
My lean is Furman -10.5, but it’s a spread that can feel uncomfortable if The Citadel is hitting threes. The reason I still get there is Furman’s two-point efficiency. It’s not a “need to be hot” offense. It’s a “keep getting good twos and eventually the margin builds” offense, and that’s exactly how you cover double digits against a team that struggles to defend consistently.
The Citadel’s best case is pretty clear. Make threes early, keep Furman from walking into paint touches, and turn it into a game with momentum swings. If The Citadel is up or tied at halftime, +10.5 becomes very live because Furman may end up playing more conservatively late with a lead.
On the total, I lean under 139.5. That might look low with the combined scoring averages, but the cover script for Furman doesn’t require a track meet. It’s more about efficient half-court scoring and limiting The Citadel’s clean perimeter looks. If The Citadel’s threes are even slightly off, this can land in the high 60s to low 70s for Furman with the Bulldogs stuck in the low 60s.
Best Bet: Furman Paladins -10.5 (-112).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference schedules create volume, and that’s where most bettors get into trouble. You see a slate, you like five games, and suddenly you’re betting numbers you didn’t really price. The sharper approach is picking a couple spots where matchup and number line up, then staying disciplined with the rest.
If you’re looking for more action across the Wednesday board, today’s college basketball picks are a solid way to compare sides and totals across the slate and see where the strongest leans are clustering. Over time, following consistent handicapping styles and tracking which approaches work in league play is what helps you avoid chasing noise and focus on bets that actually have value.
