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Troy heads to Chartway Arena to face Old Dominion on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. It’s a Sun Belt conference game on ESPN+. Troy is 13-6 and has looked like one of the league’s most consistent scoring teams lately, while Old Dominion is 6-14 and trying to build something after a tight 75-73 win over Appalachian State.
Troy is favored by 6.5 with the total sitting at 152.5. The spread is basically asking whether Troy’s offense travels cleanly enough to create separation, because Old Dominion has shown it can be scrappy at home. The total feels high unless Old Dominion helps push the pace, and that’s not always what the Monarchs want to do.
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Troy Trojans vs Old Dominion Monarchs Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor updated numbers and shop for the best price on the latest college basketball odds.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | -302 | -6.5 (-115) | O 152.5 (-113) |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | +231 | +6.5 (-109) | U 152.5 (-110) |
Grand Canyon Antelopes
vs
San Diego St Aztecs
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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Score
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+1.00 -106
Spread
-1.00 -106
o+143.50-108
Total
u+143.50-108
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Moneyline
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USC Trojans
vs
Northwestern Wildcats
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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Score
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–
Spread
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o+154.00-108
Total
u+154.00-108
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Moneyline
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Saint Mary’s Gaels
vs
Oregon St Beavers
Open
vs
Jan 21, 2026 23:00 EST
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Score
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-17.50 -106
Spread
+17.50 -106
o+142.00-108
Total
u+142.00-108
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Moneyline
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Troy Trojans Betting Form
Troy is in one of those stretches where the offense looks easy. The 99-74 win over Arkansas State was loud, and it wasn’t just hot shooting. They moved the ball, they finished inside, and they punished mistakes. When Thomas Dowd and Victor Valdes are both controlling possessions, Troy’s scoring becomes less streaky because it’s not all dependent on tough jumpers.
The profile is pretty bettor-friendly. Troy averages 86.9 points per game and makes 10.6 threes per game, so they can score quickly if the opponent starts trading bad shots. They rebound well too, which matters in road favorite spots because it keeps you from letting an underdog hang around on second chances. Troy’s road record is 6-5, not dominant, but it does tell you they’ve been able to win outside their building. If you’re tracking how Troy has been trending game to game, the Troy stats and results hub is a clean way to see the pattern.
Old Dominion Monarchs Betting Form
Old Dominion just won 75-73 at Appalachian State, and that matters because it showed some composure late. Jordan Battle’s 25 points on efficient shooting is the kind of performance that gives this matchup real variance. If he’s making shots early, Old Dominion can keep pace long enough to make +6.5 feel live.
At home, the Monarchs have been noticeably more stable than they’ve been overall. The 4-3 record at Chartway Arena is basically their argument in this game. They play with better energy, and they’re more willing to get physical on the glass. The issue is that Old Dominion can go through scoring droughts, and against a team like Troy that can pop off for 12 points in two minutes, droughts become backbreakers. If Old Dominion isn’t generating efficient looks or getting to the line, it can’t afford empty trips.
Troy Trojans vs Old Dominion Monarchs Matchup Breakdown
This is a tempo question first, and a shot profile question second. Troy is comfortable playing fast and spacing you out with threes. Old Dominion would probably prefer a more controlled game where it can pick its spots and keep Troy from getting rhythm threes in transition. If Troy dictates pace, Old Dominion is going to have to score more than it usually does, and that’s where the total starts to look inflated.
The matchup edge for Troy is the combination of three-point volume and rebounding. If Troy is creating extra possessions and getting clean catch-and-shoot looks, the spread can cover itself without much drama. Old Dominion’s best counter is turning this into a half-court game, hitting enough threes to prevent Troy from packing the paint, and forcing Troy into longer possessions where the Trojans start settling. That’s the version where +6.5 and the Under can both cash.
The other layer is game script. If Troy gets up 10 to 14 early, Old Dominion has to chase, and chasing usually means quicker shots and a little more risk. That can bring the Over into play, but it can also create the kind of turnover-run sequences that lead to a blowout. If you like thinking in terms of scripts rather than just averages, the sports betting strategy guide is helpful for breaking down how spreads and totals behave when one team controls the game state.
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Troy Trojans vs Old Dominion Monarchs Predictions and Best Bets
My side lean is Troy -6.5. The offensive ceiling is the difference here. Troy can win with threes, it can win with ball movement, and it can win by simply turning a few empty Old Dominion possessions into quick points. Old Dominion can absolutely keep this close for stretches, especially at home, but I don’t love betting on them to score consistently for 40 minutes against a team that’s currently playing at Troy’s pace and confidence level.
On the total, I lean Under 152.5. It’s not that Troy can’t score, because it obviously can. It’s that the number assumes Old Dominion contributes efficiently while also dealing with Troy’s pace and spacing. If Old Dominion has even one long cold stretch, the Under is suddenly in a good position. And if Troy gets a comfortable lead, you often see a slower second half with fewer truly urgent possessions from the underdog.
Best Bet: Under 152.5 (-110).
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Conference slates are where value shows up, but you have to treat it like a card, not a single-game decision. Different matchups reward different styles. Some games are all about tempo and shot volume, others are about foul pressure and late-game execution.
That’s why it helps to compare multiple angles in one place instead of forcing a play because the line looks clean. ScoresAndStats makes it easy to do that with today’s college basketball picks, especially on a busy night where there are several mid-major conference games priced tightly. Over time, that comparison process matters more than any one pick.
