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Bellarmine Knights vs Jacksonville Dolphins Picks and Predictions – January 22, 2026
Bellarmine heads to Jacksonville for an Atlantic Sun conference matchup on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The game tips at Swisher Gymnasium and streams on ESPN+. This is a classic small-number spot: Jacksonville gets the home floor and the favorite tag, but Bellarmine’s shot-making profile is good enough to keep the market honest.
The current price has Jacksonville -3.5 with a total of 139.5. That’s a workable range for bettors because the spread is tight enough to handicap late-game execution, and the total sits low enough that one hot shooting stretch can flip the over quickly.
Bellarmine Knights vs Jacksonville Dolphins Odds
These are the current betting lines, and bettors should keep an eye on updated numbers and alternate markets on the college basketball odds board leading up to tip.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine | +142 | +3.5 (-110) | O/U 139.5 |
| Jacksonville | -173 | -3.5 (-110) | O/U 139.5 |
Bellarmine Knights Betting Form
Bellarmine’s last game was a rough one at Eastern Kentucky, a 89-69 loss that got away from them in a hurry. The more important betting takeaway is that the Knights still didn’t abandon their identity: they want clean looks, they want the ball moving, and they lean on efficiency more than volume. When you’re top-tier nationally in field goal efficiency, you always have a chance to hang around even if you’re not getting every whistle or every bounce.
The problem is the travel profile. Bellarmine has struggled badly away from home, and that matters because efficient shooting teams can still look ordinary when legs go soft and the rim feels tight early. If they’re missing early jumpers, they have to find points at the line or on second chances, and that is harder to bank on in a true road gym.
For a deeper look at their scoring trends and how their results have landed versus the number, check Bellarmine stats and results.
Jacksonville Dolphins Betting Form
Jacksonville is coming off a 90-68 home win over North Alabama, and the scoring pop matters because it confirms what the Dolphins want to be at home: aggressive, comfortable shooting in rhythm, and willing to turn a good first half into separation after the break. Their 4-2 home record is solid, and Swisher Gym has been a better environment for them to control pace and win the middle of the game.
From a betting lens, Jacksonville’s offense is less about one perfect matchup and more about stacking good possessions. If they are getting to their spots without turning it over, they can score enough to justify laying a short number. The favorite is also the side more likely to get a clean look late in a one-possession game, and that shows up in spreads like -3.5.
If you want the full game log and home splits, use Jacksonville schedule and stats.
Bellarmine Knights vs Jacksonville Dolphins Matchup Breakdown
This game is about shot profile versus game control. Bellarmine wants to win with efficiency, which usually means fewer wasted possessions and a high percentage of quality shots. Jacksonville’s edge is that they can pressure the game toward their preferred tempo at home, and that can force Bellarmine into quicker decisions than they want.
Turnovers and offensive rebounds are the swing stats. If Bellarmine plays clean and doesn’t give away empty trips, the underdog becomes live because +3.5 is a small cushion in a game where one or two possessions late decide it. If Jacksonville can win the possession battle with forced mistakes and a few second-chance sequences, it’s easier to create a margin that actually covers.
I also care about endgame math. With a spread inside two possessions, late fouling is very much on the table, and that can push the total even if the first 30 minutes play slower. If this stays in the 4- to 8-point range late, you can get a free-throw parade that decides both the side and the number.
Bellarmine Knights vs Jacksonville Dolphins Predictions and Best Bets
I lean Jacksonville to cover the short number because the market is pricing Bellarmine’s road issues for a reason. It’s hard to back a team that’s been that inconsistent away from home against a solid home side laying only 3.5. Bellarmine can absolutely shoot well enough to win, but the bet is about the most likely script, not the ceiling.
Jacksonville’s best path is pretty clear: defend without fouling, keep the game organized, and make Bellarmine score through multiple actions instead of quick clean looks. If the Dolphins avoid the turnover bursts that ignite a dog, they should have more stable late-game possessions, and that matters in a tight spread game.
On the total, I lean over 139.5 because both teams have reasons to produce efficient scoring, and the late-game free-throw dynamic is real at this number. The risk is a cold-shooting road start from Bellarmine that drags the pace and keeps Jacksonville comfortable. Still, the line is not asking for a track meet, just steady scoring.
Best Bet: Jacksonville -3.5
NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re building a bigger slate, start with the daily college basketball picks and then filter for matchups like this on the NCAAB previews hub, where you can compare game scripts and see how numbers are being attacked across the board.
For bettors who want proven performance, the best handicappers page is the quick entry point, and the handicapper leaderboard helps you track long-term results instead of short-run variance. If you prefer a tighter portfolio, you can browse premium options at buy picks.
When you’re doing team-to-team comparisons or shopping for broader betting context, the college basketball teams hub and the main ScoresAndStats blog are good tools to keep your process consistent. For a fundamentals refresh, the Expert Betting Guide is useful, and if you’re evaluating where to place bets or how different services stack up, you can also use sportsbook reviews and handicappers sites reviews.
