Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles Picks and Predictions January 22nd 2026

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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles Picks and Predictions – January 22, 2026

Arkansas State heads to Statesboro to face Georgia Southern on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The Sun Belt matchup tips at the Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center and streams on ESPN+. This is one of those numbers that tells you the market sees these teams as close, even with Georgia Southern owning a strong 8-2 home record.

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Arkansas State is laying a short -2.5 on the road despite a 5-6 away mark, which is always a flag to me. Meanwhile, the total is sitting way up at 176.5, basically pricing in a track meet with clean shooting and a steady whistle. That’s a high bar for a conference game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles Odds

These are the current betting lines, and you should keep monitoring movement on the latest college basketball odds leading up to tip in case the spread drifts off a key number or the total gets bet down.

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Arkansas State-137-2.5 (-110)O/U 176.5
Georgia Southern+108+2.5 (-115)O/U 176.5

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Form

Arkansas State’s profile is pretty simple: they want points, and they’re built to score in waves. They’re averaging 83.0 points per game, they get to the line, and they’re comfortable playing fast even after makes. That’s why the Red Wolves can show up in any gym and still put pressure on the scoreboard.

The concern is consistency away from home. A 5-6 road record is not a disaster, but it does hint that their worst stretches show up more often in unfamiliar environments. When the offense gets loose, it usually starts with quick possessions that end in tough shots and open-floor chances the other way. That’s how a small road spread turns into a grind.

If you want to track how their scoring has translated into covers and totals across the season, start with Arkansas State stats and results.

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Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Form

Georgia Southern is built to score too, and the home record matters here. At 8-2 in Statesboro, the Eagles have been more reliable in their own building, especially when they can play with pace and get to the line. They also have enough perimeter creation to generate quick runs, which is exactly what you want when you’re catching points at home.

The other piece I like with Georgia Southern in this spot is the free-throw pressure. If they’re getting into the bonus at a normal clip, it slows Arkansas State’s tempo just enough to disrupt rhythm and it keeps the underdog live late. A +2.5 ticket is often decided in the last four minutes, and free throws are how home dogs steal covers.

For the game-by-game home split and recent scoring outputs, use Georgia Southern schedule and stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles Matchup Breakdown

This matchup looks like offense versus offense, but the market total is asking for near-perfect conditions. To get to 176.5, you typically need a combination of high possession count, strong shooting efficiency, and steady trips to the stripe. If any one of those elements is missing, the under starts to look attractive fast.

Arkansas State’s edge is shot volume and pace. If they’re winning the possession count and hitting enough threes to stretch the floor, they can justify being a road favorite. Georgia Southern’s counter is to make this a more physical half-court game, force Arkansas State to defend multiple actions, and attack the rim to create foul pressure.

A couple practical betting angles I’m watching:

  • Can Georgia Southern control the tempo in the first eight minutes, or does Arkansas State get the game into sprint mode immediately?
  • Does Arkansas State take care of the ball in a true road setting, especially when Georgia Southern makes a run and the crowd gets involved?
  • If the game is tight late, do we get the foul-heavy finish that juices totals, or does it stay clean and play out?

If you want a broader framework for how pace, possession count, and late-game variance should change the way you bet spreads and totals, the Expert Betting Guide is a good baseline.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles Predictions and Best Bets

I lean Georgia Southern +2.5. The home record is strong, the number is short, and Arkansas State hasn’t been trustworthy enough on the road to justify laying points without a clear matchup mismatch. If this is a one-possession game with four minutes left, I’d rather have the points with the home side.

On the total, I lean under 176.5. That’s not me saying these teams cannot score. It’s me saying the line is priced so high that you need everything to cooperate. If there’s even a modest cold stretch, or the whistle is normal instead of generous, it’s hard to keep pace with that number.

If you’re looking for the cleanest single angle, the total is the one. The spread is tight and could swing on late free throws, but the total is giving you a lot of room for variance before you lose an under ticket.

Best Bet: Under 176.5

NCAAB Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

For the rest of the slate, start with college basketball picks and compare similar high-total games to see where the market is consistently getting bet. If you want more matchup-specific writeups, the NCAAB previews hub is the fastest way to scan today’s card.

If you prefer to follow proven performance, use the best handicappers page and then filter by consistency on the handicapper leaderboard. If you want a tighter portfolio instead of building a slate manually, you can browse packages at buy picks.

For broader context and team-to-team comparisons, the college basketball teams hub and the main ScoresAndStats blog are useful daily tools. For book shopping and line access comparisons, use sportsbook reviews, and if you’re evaluating pick services more generally, handicappers sites reviews can help you sort options.