Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers Picks and Predictions January 27th 2026

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The No. 17 Alabama Crimson Tide host the Missouri Tigers in an SEC matchup clouded by uncertainty around Charles Bediako’s eligibility. Alabama has dropped three of its last five and continues to search for consistency, while Missouri rides momentum after Mark Mitchell’s buzzer-beating three lifted them past Oklahoma in overtime. With both teams battling for positioning in the SEC, this contest highlights a clash between Alabama’s guard-heavy attack and Missouri’s balanced scoring depth.

Line Movement and Odds

Alabama enters as the favorite, but Missouri’s recent form makes this line worth monitoring. Current market:

  • Alabama Spread: -4.5 (-110)
  • Missouri Spread: +4.5 (-110)
  • Alabama MoneyLine: -190
  • Missouri MoneyLine: +160
  • Total: 150.5 (-110)

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Matchup Breakdown

Alabama Outlook

The Crimson Tide average 81.2 points per game, with Labaron Philon Jr., Aden Holloway, and Amari Allen leading the offense. Philon’s 26 points vs Tennessee highlighted his scoring ability, while Holloway and Allen provide secondary production. Alabama’s efficiency (13-6 overall record; 3-3 SEC; 6-of-26 from three in last outing) underscores their strengths and weaknesses. Their ability to push pace makes them dangerous, but shooting inconsistency remains a concern.

Missouri Outlook

The Tigers average 78.9 points per game, with Mark Mitchell, T.O. Barrett, and Jayden Stone driving production. Mitchell’s 25 points and game-winning three vs Oklahoma highlighted his clutch ability, while Barrett’s 21 points in his first start showcased depth. Missouri’s efficiency (14-6 overall record; 4-3 SEC; balanced scoring with three double-digit contributors) underscores their strengths. Their ability to rebound and share the ball makes them competitive on the road.

Key Factors

This matchup may hinge on perimeter shooting and rebounding. Alabama must regain its three-point rhythm and rely on Philon’s playmaking, while Missouri must lean on Mitchell’s scoring and Barrett’s emergence to tilt the game. Execution in the final minutes will likely decide the margin.

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Injuries / Availability

Alabama: Charles Bediako’s eligibility remains uncertain pending a court ruling; Lowe, Williams, and Quaintance remain out.

Missouri: The Tigers report no fresh injury concerns heading into Tuesday’s contest.

Environment

Coleman Coliseum has been a steady venue for Alabama, where they’ve gone 9-2 this season. Missouri, however, has shown resilience in close games, making this a clash of home dominance versus visiting confidence.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Alabama 77, Missouri 73

  • Missouri +4.5 → Best Bet. Their balanced scoring and Mitchell’s clutch play suggest they can stay within the number.
  • Under 150.5 → Total play. Both teams’ recent shooting struggles point toward a combined score below the line.

Alabama’s depth and home-court advantage should carry them to victory, while Missouri’s offense keeps the spread in play. Expect a competitive contest with totals landing just under the posted number.

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